Mistral AI News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Mistral AI
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.67%chance
8149972
OptionVotes
28379
3002
OptionProbability
100
100
100
78
13
13
12
12
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
8
6
5
2
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
8.77%chance
156407
OptionVotes
3224
310
OptionProbability
83
62
33
21
5
5
5
5
4
0
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)
Jul 24, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.9%chance
91750
OptionVotes
2623
2468
Which company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Jan 5, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
241117
OptionProbability
64
10
9
5
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
Who will publicly release the first language model to be credibly accused of being responsible for 100 deaths?
Oct 5, 2:30 AMDec 13, 7:59 AM
21733
OptionProbability
17
16
15
11
9
9
6
6
4
4
3
2
Will an AI exec equate AGI to religious end-times in 2026?
Mar 21, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24%chance
15451
OptionVotes
105
83
Will Mistral AI release a model named "le chaton fat" by EOY 2026
Jun 16, 2:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.74%chance
490
OptionVotes
133
98
Which LLM Maker will hold the top Safety Score for Spiral-Bench on https://eqbench.com/spiral-bench.html on Jan1, 2027?
Jan 6, 7:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
160
OptionProbability
34
31
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Will Mistral AI and/or its investors sue Juan Branco for Defamation in 2026
Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32%chance
148
OptionVotes
146
69