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Top stories

WWE’s Naomi Vacates Women’s World Title After Pregnancy Announcement

WWE’s Naomi Vacates Women’s World Title After Pregnancy Announcement

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Money in the Bank

Zeihan - "China's population will be below 700M by the end of the decade"

Nov 2, 9:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.33%chance

209797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1466

900

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

932

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Apr 21, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.93%chance

102438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1944

515

Will I manage to get money for my torn dollar bills?

Mar 31, 8:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83%chance

312032

OptionVotes

NO

YES

221

45

Will the recipients of naming rights money for the FTX Arena receive a demand to give their money back (e.g. to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Dec 19, 12:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

76%chance

91954

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

172

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.6%chance

171639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2026

494

Will the UK NHS (National Health Service) be free at the point of use by 2030

Jan 4, 11:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.82%chance

10898

OptionVotes

NO

YES

568

100

Manifold have a central bank and I am chairman by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.85%chance

6253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

35

Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?

Jan 14, 12:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.3%chance

15188

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

950

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.79%chance

6121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

79

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Jun 9, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58%chance

471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

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