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Top stories

WWE’s Naomi Vacates Women’s World Title After Pregnancy Announcement

WWE’s Naomi Vacates Women’s World Title After Pregnancy Announcement

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Money in the Bank

Zeihan - "China's population will be below 700M by the end of the decade"

Nov 2, 9:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.33%chance

209797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1466

900

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

894

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Apr 21, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.93%chance

102438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1944

515

Will the recipients of naming rights money for the FTX Arena receive a demand to give their money back (e.g. to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Dec 19, 12:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

76%chance

91954

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

172

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2102

476

When will a bank offering voice authentication remove this option due to deepfake risk?

Apr 24, 12:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

101360

OptionProbability

2027 or later

2026

Other

2025

2024

53

33

7

4

3

Will the UK NHS (National Health Service) be free at the point of use by 2030

Jan 4, 11:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.82%chance

10898

OptionVotes

NO

YES

568

100

Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?

Jan 14, 12:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.3%chance

15188

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

950

When will a cyberattack cause a major U.S. bank or brokerage to lose its records of customer assets?

Aug 11, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7159

OptionProbability

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2031

Before 2028

Before 2027

58

57

56

55

55

50

47

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.86%chance

7136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

What bad things will happen in Russia after elections? [prop bets]

Sep 17, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

122

OptionProbability

Taking money from bank deposits

Reserved 1

Reserved 2

Official full mobilization

50

50

50

34

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