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Prediction markets for Money in the Bank
Zeihan - "China's population will be below 700M by the end of the decade"
Nov 2, 9:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
8.33%chance
209797
OptionVotes
1466
900
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%chance
745724
OptionVotes
2141
900
OptionVotes
1067
932
OptionProbability
97
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will the recipients of naming rights money for the FTX Arena receive a demand to give their money back (e.g. to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Dec 19, 12:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
76%chance
91954
OptionVotes
200
172
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
29.32%chance
12941
OptionVotes
1553
644
When will a bank offering voice authentication remove this option due to deepfake risk?
Apr 24, 12:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
7695
OptionProbability
75
10
8
5
1
Manifold have a central bank and I am chairman by 2030?
Jun 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.85%chance
6253
OptionVotes
287
35
Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?
Jan 14, 12:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.3%chance
15188
OptionVotes
1119
950
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?
Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.79%chance
6121
OptionVotes
127
79
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?
Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
688
OptionVotes
100
100
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?
Jun 9, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48%chance
449
OptionVotes
104
96