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Top stories

NASA Sets Sept. 22 Unveiling of New Astronaut Class, Artemis II Briefings

NASA Sets Sept. 22 Unveiling of New Astronaut Class, Artemis II Briefings

Authors

9

10 months ago

China Leaps Ahead in Lunar Race With Rocket and Lander Tests

China Leaps Ahead in Lunar Race With Rocket and Lander Tests

Authors

8

10 months ago

NASA Narrows Artemis II Moon Mascot Contest to 25 Finalists

NASA Narrows Artemis II Moon Mascot Contest to 25 Finalists

Authors

4

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Moon

Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Feb 9, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

30862608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12085

336

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?

Apr 9, 2:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.5%chance

24957757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2687

1148

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?

Apr 9, 2:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26%chance

17850547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

546

Will China land men on the moon before the USA?

Jan 5, 9:00 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

40.21%chance

8824645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2699

2303

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Jan 9, 3:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3722715

OptionProbability

>= 2032

2029

2028

2030

2031

Before 2027

2027

40

17

15

14

12

1

1

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Aug 12, 1:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8115039

OptionProbability

USA

China

Russia

India

Europe

Other

56

43

0

0

0

0

Will Elon Musk ever orbit or walk on the Moon?

Apr 1, 9:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.4%chance

392941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2505

1816

Will signs of past or present life be found on the Jovian moon Europa by 2050?

Oct 2, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.77%chance

412485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

706

Will Joe Biden be alive on the day a human next steps on the moon?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.58%chance

342030

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2387

1675

Will Jeff Bezos ever orbit or walk on the Moon?

Mar 25, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.18%chance

371762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2571

1688

Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?

Mar 26, 5:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.6%chance

28604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1994

1962

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

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