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MSRP News

    Prediction markets for MSRP

    Nintendo Switch 2 prop bets [Add answers!]

    Sep 14, 10:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    4827151

    OptionProbability

    Compatible with Switch 1 Joy-Cons (even if only Bluetooth)

    Backwards compatible with physical Switch 1 games

    Backwards compatible with digital Switch 1 games

    Crossplay with Switch 1 in any first-party game released within the first 6 months after launch

    Multiple launch SKUs

    Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "Mario" in the name

    Name of the console contains the word "Switch"

    The name of the console is correctly leaked over two weeks before it is revealed

    Launch day system software includes a Mii maker

    Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "World" in the name

    Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) that also came out/is coming out for Switch 1

    Backwards compatible with physical Switch 1 games, AND allows you to play a better looking or performing version of at least one Switch 1 game with the original Switch 1 cartridge within 6 months of the console launching

    Joy-Cons can be used as a mouse

    A new pro controller will be released on the same day the console comes out

    New SKU not available at launch available within one year after release

    More than two themes before 2027

    Any launch SKU has a MSRP not ending in "9.99" in the US

    Name of the console contains the word "Super"

    Name of the console contains the word "New"

    Any launch SKU has an OLED screen

    Over 180 days between reveal and release (July 15 deadline)

    Revealed this week (before September 21st, 11:59:59pm ET)

    Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "Zelda" in the name

    Launch day system software includes an internet browser (general-purpose browser that deliberately allows access to the wider Web, like the 3DS or Wii U browser)

    No launch SKU has 12GB RAM

    No launch SKU has 256GB storage

    Name of at least one launch SKU contains "XL"

    The cheapest launch SKU costs ≤$300

    Will have some kind of "achievements" or "trophies" system (under any name)

    The Joy-Cons have inside-out tracking (via camera or LiDAR)

    Has a social media or video-sharing service called Vidmiio (announced or available by launch)

    First-party Joy-Cons attach or detach using electromagnets

    A launch SKU has Joy-Cons that have a non-grayscale shell (as opposed to the black shells in the trailer).

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    40

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    What will be true about Apple's smart ring?

    Feb 22, 10:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    827103

    OptionProbability

    It won't be available for purchase in 2024

    Tracks sleep

    It won’t have a USB-C port

    will support wireless charging

    Improved health tracking if you pair it with an apple watch (ie better data if you wear both than either by itself)

    It will only be usable with an iPhone

    It will be available in a range of colours

    It’ll measure blood oxygen saturation / include a pulse oximetry function.

    Will support gestures

    At launch, the MSRP will be <$500.

    The ring design will be asymmetrical.

    Tracks Stress

    It will eventually be tied up in litigation like the pulse-ox sensor on the watch

    battery lasts over a week

    There will be a gold version (real gold, not just gold colored)

    It will have a physical button on it

    It will have a glass or crystal screen

    It will be announced in 2025

    Waterproof up to 100 meters / 330 feet

    It will be called the iRing

    There will be a higher memory model sold for more money at launch (think 128MB vs. 256MB models)

    It will have a camera

    It will be available for purchase in 2024

    It will be announced in 2024

    100

    97

    94

    94

    85

    83

    78

    76

    74

    68

    59

    53

    48

    46

    38

    31

    21

    14

    13

    8

    8

    5

    0

    0

    Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?

    May 27, 3:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    44%chance
    202658

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1128

    886

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    560

    18

    Will the Tesla "Redwood" be available at 25,000 USD or less?

    Jan 30, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    19.82%chance
    9329

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    374

    140

    What price will Meta's consumer smart glasses be?

    Nov 4, 7:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
    29.39%chance
    3251

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    155

    65

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