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Prediction markets for My
If Eliezer Yudkowsky charitably reviews my work, he will update his p(doom) to < 0.1. (Below 10%)
Jul 2, 2:25 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
21.42%chance
264484823
OptionVotes
10407
7511
Will my ex partner and I get back together within 3 years?
Aug 16, 1:44 AMJun 17, 6:59 AM
65.95%chance
196143881
OptionVotes
156828
36298
OptionProbability
54
43
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM
29.57%chance
1953878
OptionVotes
16624
6806
Will my startup Retis Labs become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7.41%chance
4350042
OptionVotes
20781
8355
Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?
Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
65.03%chance
17538975
OptionVotes
11839
8819
AI coding agent forecasts from my blog post, through July 4, 2026
Jul 5, 7:26 AMJul 4, 11:59 PM
239556
OptionProbability
79
72
67
63
56
49
30
Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?
Apr 24, 11:26 PMApr 24, 11:20 PM
31.4%chance
187419
OptionVotes
14782
6765
Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?
Aug 22, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
49.56%chance
336232
OptionVotes
10058
9942
Will my 70yo male relative lose 10 lbs in 2 months with Evolv GLP-1?
Aug 25, 12:37 AMOct 26, 12:29 AM
64.84%chance
144800
OptionVotes
13579
7364
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25
based on my taste in music, recommend to me an album, any album that gets over 10 points resolves to YES
Oct 21, 4:13 PMApr 16, 8:59 PM
00
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