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Prediction markets for Nature Communications
[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?
Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
20.52%chance
3412373
OptionVotes
19679
5082
OptionVotes
2438
1224
Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027
Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.07%chance
1298015
OptionVotes
1846
1470
OptionProbability
28
24
11
11
10
9
7
1
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
Was Snowden a Russian Asset? (ie did he communicate with Russian intelligence before fleeing the US)
May 4, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
35.69%chance
8160
OptionVotes
137
121
OptionProbability
72
50
50
45
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