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Prediction markets for Nature Medicine
OptionVotes
1188
737
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
86.64%chance
16674
OptionVotes
1123
959
Will there be a bald US president before February 2049?
Sep 12, 5:02 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
36.06%chance
8405
OptionVotes
1331
751
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2030?
Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
69.86%chance
499
OptionVotes
145
88
Before 2035, will evidence indicate BPC-157’s side effects make it not-recommended for musculoskeletal injury recovery?
Jun 28, 6:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.04%chance
496
OptionVotes
1040
961
Will 2,500+ people die of heat in Texas in a single week before 2032?
Jun 26, 11:38 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
7.4%chance
260
OptionVotes
160
94
OptionProbability
61
44
32
Will University of North Carolina researcher Bryan Roth win the Nobel Prize for his DREADDs research?
Aug 24, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37%chance
130
OptionVotes
130
77
Will an AI-designed drug candidate report positive Phase 3 results before the end of 2027?
Oct 30, 4:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.98%chance
230
OptionVotes
120
83
OptionVotes
100
100
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