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Prediction markets for Networking
Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035
Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
30.11%chance
197235
OptionVotes
15224
6573
Will someone fail to hydrate/eat, dying as a result, because they could not perceive reality, their hunger, or their thirst, while using a social media network in the next 10 years?
Dec 6, 3:48 AMDec 6, 4:00 AM
39.3%chance
171036
OptionVotes
1097
848
A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.
May 19, 4:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.1%chance
17641
OptionVotes
1294
885
A "network state" will be recognized by the UN by 2040.
Feb 12, 5:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.8%chance
13496
OptionVotes
1062
553
Will a leading AI company productize Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN) by 2026?
May 6, 2:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
12.29%chance
19495
OptionVotes
1369
906
Will a humanoid robot controlled by an end-to-end neural network juggle three balls for ten seconds before 2030?
Mar 14, 10:01 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
87.04%chance
12437
OptionVotes
1195
932
Will we see the emergence of a 'super AI network' before 2035 ?
Jan 18, 8:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
71.99%chance
13432
OptionVotes
985
944
By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?
Feb 25, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.6%chance
21424
OptionVotes
1177
940
Will there be a significant public opposition to 6G cellular networks rollout when it happens?
Sep 1, 12:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57.41%chance
13413
OptionVotes
1022
957
Will a neural network merge with a human brain before 2050?
Nov 25, 7:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
52.82%chance
16380
OptionVotes
1038
934
Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?
Mar 14, 4:37 PMMar 22, 3:59 AM
41.45%chance
10236
OptionVotes
1002
989
Will SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?
Aug 27, 5:03 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
43.07%chance
3153
OptionVotes
1150
870
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