Neural Operators News

Guardrails AI Launches Snowglobe With Hundreds of Thousands of Scenarios and Synthetic Personas for AI Testing

1 year ago

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Nov 10, 4:57 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

25.88%chance

1033852

OptionVotes

YES

1878

1440

Will the first AGI be a transformer model?

Jan 1, 4:54 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

71.43%chance

161309

OptionVotes

YES

1007

205

When will we get an operating system that's end-to-end generated by a neural network?

May 27, 8:07 AMDec 31, 9:07 AM

10631

OptionProbability

2025-2027

2031-2033

2028-2030

2037-2040

2034-2036

2041-2045

2046 or later or never

Will transformer architectures lose their dominant position in deep learning before 2028?

Jan 20, 9:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.84%chance

6155

OptionVotes

YES

240

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Sep 17, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:43 PM

2130

OptionProbability

2029

2027

Will Tesla start selling a vehicle using a new "AI 5" computer by the end of Q3 2027?

Jul 16, 2:01 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

73.53%chance

3129

OptionVotes

YES

167

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100?

Sep 16, 5:54 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

34.81%chance

419

OptionVotes

YES

117

Will AI Chatbots become extinct in 9999?

Sep 9, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.63%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

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Guardrails AI Launches Snowglobe With Hundreds of Thousands of Scenarios and Synthetic Personas for AI Testing
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1 year ago

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Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Will the first AGI be a transformer model?

When will we get an operating system that's end-to-end generated by a neural network?

Will transformer architectures lose their dominant position in deep learning before 2028?

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Will Tesla start selling a vehicle using a new "AI 5" computer by the end of Q3 2027?

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100?

Will AI Chatbots become extinct in 9999?

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