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New Moon News

Lionsgate and Fathom Bring ‘Twilight’ Saga Back to Theaters for 20th Anniversary

Lionsgate and Fathom Bring ‘Twilight’ Saga Back to Theaters for 20th Anniversary

4

8 months ago

Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?

Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

1%chance

11242189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22397

447

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Aug 12, 1:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8014927

OptionProbability

USA

China

Russia

India

Europe

Other

58

42

0

0

0

0

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.45%chance

288754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3502

286

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

Apr 24, 2:18 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM

5.13%chance

343139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3203

713

Will NASA award a contract to a new commercial partner to develop a spacesuit by mid 2026?

Jun 25, 9:32 PMJun 1, 1:59 PM

58.3%chance

121761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

89

Where will the first crewed Starship landing happen?

Dec 16, 4:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81374

OptionProbability

Luna (Earth's Moon)

Cape Canaveral, Florida (any pad)

Boca Chica, Texas, Pad A (east pad)

Boca Chica, Texas, Pab B (west pad)

Vandenberg Space Force Base, California (any pad)

Ocean platform (any site)

Other

Mars

65

13

6

6

3

3

3

2

Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?

Apr 8, 7:58 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.67%chance

361367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

916

Will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be available in English on its initial release?

Feb 14, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.16%chance

4649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

26

Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?

Dec 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

65.24%chance

3390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.15%chance

13328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

945

What year will Japan's pressurized rover land on the Moon?

Apr 14, 8:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5155

OptionProbability

2033-2034

2032-2033

2031-2032

2034-2035

2030-2031

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

32

14

8

6

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

1

1

1

Is Metaculus' strong AGI question too weak?

Jul 6, 9:38 PMJan 1, 10:38 PM

75.53%chance

777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

247

131

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