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Top stories

Nextdoor Unveils Major Redesign With AI Alerts, Interactive Map, and Partnership With 3,500+ Local News Providers

Nextdoor Unveils Major Redesign With AI Alerts, Interactive Map, and Partnership With 3,500+ Local News Providers

Authors

33

18 days ago

Prediction markets for News

Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?

Jan 4, 5:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

80.8%chance

5223298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

905

Will I believe 2025 is a bigger news year than 2024?

Jan 4, 12:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.52%chance

4515811

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11214

9228

What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?

May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

8215250

OptionProbability

Covid

Russia-Ukraine War

Brexit

January 6th

Israel-Hamas War

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

LLMs

George Floyd Protests

The Rise of China

Private Spaceflight

Bitcoin

Violent repression of women in Iran

New York v Trump 2024

Tigray War

BRICS Expansion

Meme stocks

Enshittification

97

94

88

86

82

82

77

75

63

61

61

57

54

51

40

21

13

Will an AI-fabricated police brutality video receive major news coverage by end of 2025?

Jun 19, 9:59 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

36.53%chance

549449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1742

637

Will Fox News settle in their defamation lawsuit with Smartmatic before going to trial?

Apr 18, 10:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.43%chance

414728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

876

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.94%chance

73804

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

985

Will Fox News settle the Smartmatic lawsuit?

Apr 19, 7:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.1%chance

363217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

957

Will there be a news article about Manifest 2025?

Mar 9, 12:21 AMSep 1, 4:59 AM

25.35%chance

262687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1716

583

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Sep 7, 1:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.01%chance

261841

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

975

If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join?

Jan 20, 6:40 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

82.09%chance

321677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

876

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will a Longtermist act of pre-emptive violence be reported by multiple credible news sources by 1st Jan 2028?

Aug 11, 10:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19.19%chance

11560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1296

907

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 15, 2025
Jul 15, 2025
Software
AI Products
Tech
Nextdoor Unveils Major Redesign With AI Alerts, Interactive Map, and Partnership With 3,500+ Local News Providers
Authors
33
18 days ago

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