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Prediction markets for North Korean
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
Jan 30, 3:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
22299776
OptionProbability
95
91
84
83
80
76
75
74
73
72
71
70
70
69
69
58
52
50
50
45
45
44
43
42
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37
34
33
32
31
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31
29
28
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25
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10
9
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9
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8
8
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6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
What conspiracy theories not included in the linked market will be proven true by 2100?
Feb 3, 12:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
335528
OptionProbability
81
64
59
57
56
52
52
51
50
45
37
35
34
34
24
18
14
12
9
9
8
7
5
5
4
3
2
2
At least 10,000 North Korean soldiers deployed in the Russia/Ukraine war by Oct 2025
Oct 12, 7:16 AMOct 30, 3:59 PM
51.06%chance
344370
OptionVotes
102
98
OptionProbability
99
94
93
88
85
76
67
50
46
34
34
34
30
17
14
Will any North Korean soldier defect after being deployed in Ukraine by 2026?
Jun 27, 4:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.5%chance
241385
OptionVotes
351
28
Will there be a full-scale war between North Korea and South Korea by 2050?
Mar 31, 5:46 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
21.55%chance
231274
OptionVotes
984
933
Will a North Korean land on the Moon before the next American does?
Feb 28, 9:14 PMMar 7, 10:59 AM
3.13%chance
9967
OptionVotes
869
148
Is the Unidentified Car-sized Object over Alaska of North Korean origin?
Feb 11, 3:26 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
3.6%chance
15845
OptionVotes
1768
918
Will the next North Korean nuclear weapon test be on a sunny morning?
Nov 18, 12:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
78%chance
16422
OptionVotes
1122
949
Will North Korean troops intentionally enter South Korea by the end of 2025?
Jan 4, 6:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.6%chance
11322
OptionVotes
376
27
Will North and South Korea be unified under a single Korean government by the end of the century?
Mar 20, 4:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.09%chance
371
OptionVotes
189
105
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