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North Korean News

    Prediction markets for North Korean

    OptionProbability

    Imane Khelif is intersex

    The Jews control at least one nation's government

    The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger

    Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.

    DHMO in the water supply

    Osama bin Laden didn't act alone

    Santa is rigged

    That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)

    Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)

    The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war

    √-1 isn't real

    Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.

    Smartphones listen in on private conversations

    US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices

    Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers

    Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations

    Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team

    Groundhog Day is rigged

    That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam

    The NBA rigs the draft lottery

    Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation

    John McAfee didn't kill himself

    The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015

    Dead Internet theory

    Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others

    At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population

    The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West

    Annie Altman's abuse claims

    Dream faked the Manhunt videos

    The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior

    An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech

    @strutheo is @notrickspringfield

    Human didnt evolve from apes

    Eating your veggies is bad for your health

    There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips

    At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents

    Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does

    This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba

    The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese

    The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)

    Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage

    The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only

    Rory Stewart worked for MI6

    The CIA killed JFK

    Gamergate was right

    The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022

    Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island

    Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.

    FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war

    As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator

    Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays

    My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.

    Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen

    Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)

    Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)

    China made covid 19 in a lab

    A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products

    Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.

    Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator

    Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency

    lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀

    The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.

    Eliezer wrote The Erogamer

    Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.

    Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time

    Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy

    Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election

    Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")

    Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.

    Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT

    The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth

    The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop

    Sue Gray was a spy

    Harold Holt murdered

    Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real

    The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship

    Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself

    Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)

    Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.

    The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin

    The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars

    The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent

    The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up

    "Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024

    Princess Diana was assassinated

    US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily

    Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)

    A cure for cancer has already been found

    The Clintons assasinated their rivals

    The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws

    Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot

    The NFL is rigged

    Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics

    South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023

    Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme

    Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first

    Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.

    Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese

    Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem

    Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US

    Ogopogo is real

    A support network of close friendships is bad for your health

    Israel killed JFK

    Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)

    Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so

    Exercise is bad for your health

    Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure

    covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese

    Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency

    COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health

    Allen Iverson invented A.I.

    The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around

    QR codes are satanic

    Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice

    China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab

    QAnon

    Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health

    Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension

    Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina

    Jerry Sandusky is innocent.

    Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization

    South Sudan has had nukes since 2023

    Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic

    xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition

    Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)

    @HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie

    Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s

    Rationalussy isn't real.

    Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight

    Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.

    Tupac is still alive in 2024

    Bielefeld does not exist

    The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab

    The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.

    US government is harboring aliens

    Bush did 9/11

    Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent

    Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations

    The Mandella Effect in general is real

    The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier

    Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP

    The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen

    The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024

    carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming

    China was not genociding Uyghurs

    You personally live in Truman Show style captivity

    The Romance languages are not descended from Latin

    The illuminati runs the world

    *All* health care is net negative for health

    Birds aren't real

    climate change isn't human caused

    Michelle Obama is a man

    Jeffrey Epstein is still alive

    Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil

    Brazilian money is not real

    The Hellenistic civilization invented USB

    The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization

    Yeti is real or similar creature

    The earth is a dodecahedron

    Climate change isn’t real

    Skibidi Toilet is real

    Q is Putin

    It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears

    Africa isn't real

    Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team

    There is no female orgasm

    The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.

    The earth is flat

    Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina

    *All* vaccines are net negative for health

    The moon landing was fake

    End of the world in 2012

    Earth is hollow

    Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.

    Finland isn't real

    Australia isn't real.

    5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on

    Nuclear weapons have never existed

    Flossing is bad for your health

    Brushing your teeth is bad for your health

    HIV doesn’t cause AIDS

    Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person

    The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.

    Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001

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    OptionProbability

    The Democrat party has directly asked mainstream media to promote or repress a news story, and they followed (Only counting incidents in or after 2015)

    TikTok is controlled by the Chinese government

    Someone working for a US intelligence agency was a regular user of Manifold before this option was made

    The culture war has been intentionally amplified by the wealthy to distract from class conflict

    The Republican party has been making the illegal immigrant problem worse during 2020-2024 to blame it on Joe Biden during election season

    The US has spies working in the North Korean government

    "The Agency" on Manifold was known to the whole Manifold staff team before it started

    The idea of aliens is used by the US to distract people from secret military projects

    The Premier League delayed punishing Manchester City for breaking FFP regulations to protect its own self-interests

    The Chinese government planned their Wuhan lockdowns to protect their own country from Covid-19 but spread it to other countries

    John Barnett (Boeing whistleblower) was assassinated

    Mattress Firm is a money laundering front

    The earth and/or universe was created by a God, deity, supernatural being, or some other sentient/conscious entity in the beginning

    Creationism (second try): The earth and/or universe was INTENTIONALLY created and designed by an INDIVIDUAL god or deity at the VERY BEGINNING of its existence

    The US created Covid-19 in a lab in China

    Putin was threatened by a member of his cabinet to invade Ukraine

    The CIA systematically edits Wikipedia articles to present the US in a better light

    The 2024 Donald Trump assassination attempt was a hoax or setup

    COVID-19 vaccines permanently change one's DNA or genome

    Creationism (third try): Genesis 1 prima facie is an accurate description of the earth and/or universe's origins

    In the Tucker & Carlson interview, the dubbed voice of Putin in english is not actually saying what Putin is saying, but instead something completely different

    Vladimir Putin died in 2014 and was secretly replaced by a body double

    COVID-19 vaccine is fatal or lethal in the long term

    Phantom Time Hypothesis: A substantial portion of the Middle Ages was made up and never happened

    There is a firmament, dome, or ceiling above the earth

    Viruses/viral particles don't actually exist

    Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 election so that former first lady Michelle Obama could take his place as the Democratic Party's nominee.

    A group of giant people known as the Nephilim once inhabited the earth and cut down the colossal trees, leaving stumps that the general public understands as geological formations like Devils Tower in Wyoming and Giant’s Causeway in Ireland

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    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    102

    98

    North-/South Korea, what happens till 2030?

    Feb 8, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    292713

    OptionProbability

    A south Korean citizen is killed by a "waste" balloon

    North Korea launches rockets

    South Korea and US military do military exercises as deterrence

    South Korea reinstalls propaganda speakers at DMZ

    Elections in North Korea

    A foreigner gets arrested in North Korea

    The COVID-19 border lockdown is lifted

    North Korean munitions depot explodes by accident or by "accident".

    North Korea announces domestic AI platform

    Kim Jong un dies

    Kim Jong Un seeks medical care abroad

    Another defector crosses at JSA

    Kim Jong Un is replaced

    China bombs either one of the Koreas (mainland or claimed islands)

    Invasion of one of the countries

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    17

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    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    351

    28

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    984

    933

    Will a North Korean land on the Moon before the next American does?

    Feb 28, 9:14 PMMar 7, 10:59 AM
    3.13%chance
    9967

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    869

    148

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1768

    918

    North Korean defectors in 2025?

    May 30, 12:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    6596

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1122

    949

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    376

    27

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    189

    105