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Prediction markets for Nvidia AI
6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.
Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
90.75%chance
226494
OptionVotes
3137
320
A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027
Apr 6, 12:42 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
7.79%chance
295505
OptionVotes
3441
291
Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?
Jun 25, 1:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
85.56%chance
173384
OptionVotes
243
41
At any point of time in 2027 a single consumer-grade GPU hits a MSRP of $20,000 USD
Jan 2, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.79%chance
162171
OptionVotes
1655
606
Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?
Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
72.9%chance
431906
OptionVotes
1292
856
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
86.91%chance
151810
OptionVotes
2581
389
2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.97%chance
251329
OptionVotes
1017
852
Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?
Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
72.07%chance
271122
OptionVotes
994
954
NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026
May 19, 12:12 PMJan 1, 10:47 AM
27.76%chance
12273
OptionVotes
166
64
OptionVotes
1115
1009
Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?
May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.07%chance
6136
OptionVotes
159
82
Will NVIDIA share of AI accelerator revenue (calendar 2026 H2) exceed 80%?
May 4, 8:22 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
70%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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