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Prediction markets for Nvidia AI
A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027
Apr 6, 12:42 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
8%chance
295455
OptionVotes
3391
295
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
71.93%chance
163414
OptionVotes
1009
979
Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?
Jun 25, 1:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
85.56%chance
173384
OptionVotes
243
41
Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?
Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
78%chance
421556
OptionVotes
1542
776
2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.97%chance
251329
OptionVotes
1017
852
Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?
Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
70.56%chance
261072
OptionVotes
1014
904
6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.
Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.48%chance
14895
OptionVotes
1759
570
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.96%chance
8548
OptionVotes
1334
752
NVDA returns over the next 10 years will outperform the returns of CSCO between 1999 and 2009
Jun 4, 7:40 PMJun 11, 7:14 PM
69.68%chance
6530
OptionVotes
1516
660
Will Donald Trump mention Nancy Pelosi's (or Paul Pelosi's) stock holdings during 2026?
Jan 10, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.39%chance
6524
OptionVotes
1215
823
NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026
May 19, 12:12 PMJan 1, 10:47 AM
23.4%chance
8211
OptionVotes
186
57
OptionVotes
1095
1027
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