Odd Lots News

Liz Truss Warns UK Stuck in Economic 'Doom Loop', Urges Bank of England Overhaul

7 months ago

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12977307

OptionProbability

Massive fraud

Multiple counts of perjury

Advanced human technology

Non-human intelligence

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

57.98%chance

18941852

OptionVotes

YES

9995

9955

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

36.31%chance

5711924

OptionVotes

YES

1395

643

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

Apr 21, 6:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.24%chance

15710943

OptionVotes

YES

2886

1599

Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)?

Dec 17, 12:00 AMDec 17, 7:59 AM

158960

OptionProbability

Mox Opal

Green Sun's Zenith

Faithless Looting

Splinter Twin

Long shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?

Nov 15, 6:39 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

191864

OptionProbability

0-3

7-8

4-6

Zvi Mowshowitz Podcast/Interview 2026 Appearances

Mar 1, 1:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41699

OptionProbability

Cognitive Revolution

Complex systems

80000 hours

Ezra Klein Show

Odd Lots

Hard Fork

Vergecast

Doom Debates

Hank Green @hankschannel

Nate Silver/Silver Bulletin

100

Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?

Aug 4, 4:16 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM

4.23%chance

141393

OptionVotes

YES

1331

953

Will I give birth before age 30?

Mar 9, 3:45 PMApr 16, 2:29 PM

62.12%chance

111161

OptionVotes

YES

1281

781

Odd Lots Predictions

Jun 27, 12:17 PMJan 2, 1:03 PM

3244

OptionProbability

Podcast guest to talk about Buy Now Pay Later in 2025

Joe believes in the term premium before 1 July 2032

NYC adopts single-stair building code before 2-Jan-2033

Podcast guest to discuss livestock gender selection tech before 28 June 2029

Podcast guest to discuss MTG card prices before Jan 1, 2027

Jerome Powell as guest before 2027

100

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Economics
Politics
Liz Truss Warns UK Stuck in Economic 'Doom Loop', Urges Bank of England Overhaul
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7 months ago

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What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)?

Long shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?

Zvi Mowshowitz Podcast/Interview 2026 Appearances

Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?

Will I give birth before age 30?

Odd Lots Predictions

Latest stories

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