Odd Lots News

Liz Truss Warns UK Stuck in Economic 'Doom Loop', Urges Bank of England Overhaul

3 months ago

Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?

Jan 7, 1:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.81%chance

1279603195

OptionVotes

YES

656217

28211

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12977154

OptionProbability

Massive fraud

Multiple counts of perjury

Advanced human technology

Non-human intelligence

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

65.64%chance

18239535

OptionVotes

YES

12025

8721

Yudkowsky and Soares Podcast Tour

Sep 14, 2:33 AMJan 1, 3:16 AM

6215649

OptionProbability

Ezra Klein

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Sam Harris

Dwarkesh Patel

Complex Systems (Patrick McKenzie)

Pod Save America

80,000 Hours

Cognitive Revolution

Lex Fridman

Econtalk

Megyn Kelly

Robert Wright’s Nonzero

Joe Rogan

The Daily

Mindscape

Pivot

Theo Von

Bulwark Podcast

Conversations with Tyler

Odd Lots

Flagrant

Ben Shapiro

All-In

100

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

Apr 21, 6:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.24%chance

15710943

OptionVotes

YES

2886

1599

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

51.32%chance

5110194

OptionVotes

YES

1060

902

Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)?

Dec 17, 12:00 AMDec 17, 7:59 AM

157760

OptionProbability

Mox Opal

Green Sun's Zenith

Faithless Looting

Splinter Twin

Long shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?

Nov 15, 6:39 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

191864

OptionProbability

0-3

7-8

4-6

Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?

Aug 4, 4:16 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM

5%chance

141141

OptionVotes

YES

1127

963

Odd Lots Predictions

Jun 27, 12:17 PMJan 2, 1:03 PM

3244

OptionProbability

Podcast guest to talk about Buy Now Pay Later in 2025

Joe believes in the term premium before 1 July 2032

NYC adopts single-stair building code before 2-Jan-2033

Podcast guest to discuss livestock gender selection tech before 28 June 2029

Jerome Powell as guest before 2027

100

Will this resolve YES?

Nov 24, 9:51 PMDec 12, 9:43 PM

56.04%chance

652

OptionVotes

YES

113

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Economics
Politics
Liz Truss Warns UK Stuck in Economic 'Doom Loop', Urges Bank of England Overhaul
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3 months ago

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Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Yudkowsky and Soares Podcast Tour

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)?

Long shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?

Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?

Odd Lots Predictions

Will this resolve YES?

Latest stories

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