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Top stories

InSight Crime Investigates Tren de Aragua’s Expansion Amid Human Trafficking Crackdowns in Spain, Tenerife, and Regional Arrests

InSight Crime Investigates Tren de Aragua’s Expansion Amid Human Trafficking Crackdowns in Spain, Tenerife, and Regional Arrests

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5

7 months ago

Prediction markets for On the Radar

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

10950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

801

Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

28.11%chance

13479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

890

President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?

Feb 10, 3:59 AMNov 2, 11:59 PM

4.33%chance

5370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

470

21

Will Vietnam bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 5, 7:49 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.04%chance

7112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

88

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

71

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

47

Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 8:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

23.04%chance

356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

40

Will South Africa bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Aug 3, 9:53 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

61.73%chance

439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

89

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

66.29%chance

227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

96

52

Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2027?

Jun 3, 6:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.55%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

58

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