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Top stories

InSight Crime Investigates Tren de Aragua’s Expansion Amid Human Trafficking Crackdowns in Spain, Tenerife, and Regional Arrests

InSight Crime Investigates Tren de Aragua’s Expansion Amid Human Trafficking Crackdowns in Spain, Tenerife, and Regional Arrests

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5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for On the Radar

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

10950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

801

Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

27%chance

16605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

873

Will the US bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 3, 6:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.24%chance

9321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

224

Will Pakistan bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

70.47%chance

4116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

73

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will Japan bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 3, 6:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.94%chance

350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

61

Will Poland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:06 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.16%chance

430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

103

Will Russia bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:54 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

31.03%chance

326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

96

53

Will France bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.25%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will India bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 3, 7:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.26%chance

216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

93

82

Will Russia bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 6, 1:55 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.86%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

74

66

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