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Top stories

InSight Crime Investigates Tren de Aragua’s Expansion Amid Human Trafficking Crackdowns in Spain, Tenerife, and Regional Arrests

InSight Crime Investigates Tren de Aragua’s Expansion Amid Human Trafficking Crackdowns in Spain, Tenerife, and Regional Arrests

Authors

5

9 months ago

Prediction markets for On the Radar

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

10950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

801

Will another country support Venezuela militarily?

Jan 5, 4:33 PMDec 31, 4:30 PM

15.48%chance

10745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

43

China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026

Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM

12.17%chance

14558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

28.11%chance

13479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

890

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

71

Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

47

Will the UAE bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:27 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

76.42%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

28

Will South Africa bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Aug 3, 9:53 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

61.73%chance

439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

89

Will Poland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:06 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.16%chance

430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

103

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

66.29%chance

227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

96

52

Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2027?

Jun 3, 6:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.55%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

58

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