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One Big Beautiful News

    Prediction markets for One Big Beautiful

    Will Elon musk form a new political party

    Jul 1, 1:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    10%chance
    371449677

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    4309

    676

    2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

    Jul 14, 2:29 PMApr 15, 10:59 PM
    4216

    OptionProbability

    Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB

    Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)

    Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment

    Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

    Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

    Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

    Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01

    Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01

    66

    52

    51

    45

    38

    37

    37

    34

    Who will win Miss Universe 2025?

    Aug 14, 3:17 AMNov 22, 11:59 PM
    1109

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Palestine

    Israel

    United States

    Brazil

    Phillipines

    80

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

    Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM
    110

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