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Top stories

OpenAI Debuts gpt-realtime Voice Model as Realtime API Enters General Availability

OpenAI Debuts gpt-realtime Voice Model as Realtime API Enters General Availability

Authors

32

5 months ago

Sapient’s 27-Million-Parameter AI Surpasses ChatGPT in Key Reasoning Test

Sapient’s 27-Million-Parameter AI Surpasses ChatGPT in Key Reasoning Test

Authors

16

5 months ago

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Authors

10

5 months ago

FSU Study Finds ChatGPT Buzzwords Seeping Into Everyday Speech

Authors

23

5 months ago

Google Tests Agent and Immersive Modes to Broaden Gemini AI

Authors

18

5 months ago

Experts Warn ‘AI Psychosis’ Risk as Teens Turn to Chatbot Therapy

Authors

15

5 months ago

Y Combinator-Backed Prompting Company Launches to Put Brands Inside ChatGPT

Authors

3

5 months ago

Prediction Markets

University of Chicago Finds AI Matches Prediction Market Accuracy

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for OpenAI

Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?

Jun 11, 4:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.16%chance

29671549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25751

1590

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?

Sep 5, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.95%chance

7623524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13652

7335

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.32%chance

8821179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13505

8680

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

27.06%chance

6120269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16061

6360

Will OpenAI be valued above $1 trillion before 2030?

Aug 3, 10:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.49%chance

7615418

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1555

552

Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

Jan 4, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

6612698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2828

1510

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.59%chance

10210820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3425

1696

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.76%chance

487893

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7320

2094

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.63%chance

317489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

829

Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?

Jun 1, 2:14 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

15.68%chance

526622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4993

1363

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.92%chance

162001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11684

8683

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

8735

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

51

44

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