Opening Day News

NO

YES

VVD will be among the 3 biggest parties

VVD will be among the 4 biggest parties

PVV will get 29 seats or less

50Plus gets at least 1 seat

D66 will be in Top 3 Biggest Parties

At least 1 party leader resigns

D66 leader becomes Prime Minister

Housing will be the biggest topic in the campaigns

No cabinet before municipal election

VVD or BBB will also leave remaining coalition

CDA and JA21 both join the coalition

New general elections before getting a cabinet

Henri Bontenbal becomes Prime Minister

CDA and PvdA/GL will both join coalition

Coalition is formed before 1st of January 2026

PVV leader becomes Prime Minister

Schoof remains Prime Minister in new coalition

Coalition unable to be formed, triggers new election

PvdA/GL and VVD will both join coalition

PVV will become the biggest party

VVD will pick a new party leader

PvdA/GL will have a new name before election day

VVD will be open for coalition with PVV day after election day

Dutch Elections will be delayed (not 29th of Oct)

Schoof will join a party before election day

Timmermans will be replaced before election day

Migration will be the biggest topic again in the campaigns

CDA will be among the 3 biggest parties

A political candidate will be attack (fysical)

Antifa demonstrates before the election in The Hague

CDA will be among the 2 biggest parties

YES

By January 2080

[The original market resolves NO before January 2080]

[All open months are continuously over 90% for at least 7 days because of new information linked in the comments, before January 2026]

By January 2040

[The original market resolves NO before January 2030]

By January 2035

[The original market resolves N/A and remains N/A for at least a year, before January 2026]

By January 2030

By January 2026

By January 2024

By March 2024

By July 2024

By January 2025

YES

YES

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?

1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henly lead J.J. Spaun?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Keegan Bradley lead Colin Morikawa?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Maverick McNealy?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Corey Conners lead Kristoffer Reitan?

1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?

1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Harry Hall lead Kevin Roy?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ryan Riley lead Chris Gerard?

01-23, After Round 2 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?

01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?

01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?

01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Robert MacIntyre lead Jacob Bridgeman?

01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Davis Riley lead Taylor Pendrith?

01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Lee Hodges lead Harry Hall?

01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Blades Brown lead Scottie Scheffler?

01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Blades Brown lead Si Woo Kim?

01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Jason Day lead Andrew Putnam?

01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Tom Hoge lead Davis Riley?

02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?

02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Joel Dahmen lead Max McGreevy?

1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?

01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?

1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?

1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?

02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

91-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?

01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?

02-06, After Round 2 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?

02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

02-22, After Round 4 of the Genesis Invitational in Pacific Pallisades, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

03-01, After Round 4 of the Cognizant Classic in Palm Beach Gardens, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

03-08, After Round 4 of the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?

04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Justin Rose?

04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Patrick Reed lead Justin Rose?

04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Patrick Reed?

04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Scottie Scheffler?

04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Scottie Scheffler lead Justin Rose?

04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Scottie Scheffler lead Patrick Reed?

01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?

02-05, After Round 1 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?

02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?

02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?

02-05, After Round 1 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?

02-06, After Round 2 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?

02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?

02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?

01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Scottie Scheffler?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?

1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Robert McIntyre lead Ben Griffin?

1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Aaron Rai lead Chris Gotterup?

1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?

1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?

1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Chris Gotterup?

1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Alex Smalley lead John Parry?

1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?

1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Harry Hall lead Chris Gotterup?

1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Kevin Roy lead Chris Gotterup?

01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?

01-23, After Round 2 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?

01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?

01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?

01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?

01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Matt McCarty lead Si Woo Kim?

01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Ryan Gerard lead Chris Gotterup?

01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Matt McCarty lead Patrick Rodgers?

01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Sam Stevens lead Si Woo Kim?

01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?

01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?

02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?

01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?

01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?

02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?

01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?

01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?

01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Seamus Power lead Justin Rose?

02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Seamus Power lead Justin Rose?

01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Danny Walker lead Eric Cole?

YES

NO

NO

4-5

2-3

6-7

8-9