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Prediction markets for Oracle
What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
228123219
OptionProbability
21
13
11
11
11
10
9
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will a religion that has some AI as its god, oracle or priest have at least 1 million churchgoers before 2051?
Dec 16, 9:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
71%chance
12947587
OptionVotes
1093
70
AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
Nov 15, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15336439
OptionProbability
100
100
100
50
41
34
34
26
25
24
24
23
22
20
20
14
14
10
9
9
6
5
OptionProbability
42
10
8
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
Will Oracle lose the JavaScript trademark by the end of 2026?
Sep 16, 8:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.78%chance
247126
OptionVotes
3443
290
If US Real GDP reaches 130% of prior years by 2035, which of these stocks will have the highest total return?
Nov 3, 5:53 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM
115657
OptionProbability
34
10
9
7
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
OptionProbability
75
9
7
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Safra Catz (CEO of Oracle Corporation) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 8, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.09%chance
9828
OptionVotes
134
89
AGREE or DISAGREE: Prediction markets need oracles that aren’t mainstream media
Dec 15, 1:30 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
45%chance
7326
OptionVotes
1106
905
Will Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Oracle report combined 2027 capital expenditure above $600B?
Aug 15, 3:47 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
90%chance
5255
OptionVotes
300
33
Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B?
May 4, 8:22 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
90.1%chance
5210
OptionVotes
295
49
Will "Activation Oracles: Training and Evaluating L..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Dec 19, 9:19 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
122
OptionVotes
1000
1000
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