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Prediction markets for Oscars
Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
Feb 9, 3:48 PMDec 31, 10:01 PM
17.24%chance
10017501
OptionVotes
1914
966
Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028?
Dec 26, 12:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
21.83%chance
402972
OptionVotes
1906
443
Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)
Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
54.73%chance
301932
OptionVotes
2090
1821
Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before the 5th Bitcoin halving?
Dec 8, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
37%chance
161917
OptionVotes
1160
340
Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?
Feb 8, 8:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
83.38%chance
131176
OptionVotes
1906
695
Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?
Mar 8, 5:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
5.13%chance
171013
OptionVotes
1814
885
Best Actress Oscar is removed, renamed, or combined with Best Actor by mid 2034
Jun 30, 8:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
27%chance
8724
OptionVotes
1644
608
Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)
Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM
51.97%chance
24705
OptionVotes
1140
803
Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?
Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
51.35%chance
22616
OptionVotes
1164
808
By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction
Mar 31, 12:22 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM
17.96%chance
19302
OptionVotes
1256
902
Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?
Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.35%chance
15231
OptionVotes
1177
933
Will a Chick-fil-A streaming app original production be nominated for an Emmy or Oscar?
Aug 22, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.77%chance
4190
OptionVotes
288
35