Outbreak News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Outbreak
Will WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?
May 12, 4:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.76%chance
3815485
OptionVotes
6638
697
Will the origin of the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak be revealed to be from rats on the ship itself?
May 14, 6:59 PMDec 31, 7:56 PM
8.22%chance
9011475
OptionVotes
2678
720
Will the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Oct 4, 1:24 PMJan 1, 1:16 PM
3.56%chance
3511041
OptionVotes
5208
192
Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028?
Jul 28, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.04%chance
103512
OptionVotes
3634
275
OptionVotes
1520
82
Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
May 19, 9:46 AMApr 29, 10:59 PM
111462
OptionProbability
100
54
45
42
39
33
25
21
21
21
18
12
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak
Sep 27, 2:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
34.03%chance
271376
OptionVotes
1325
745
Will another outbreak on par with covid-19 happen within the decade.
Dec 17, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.55%chance
28809
OptionVotes
1236
840
Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?
Jul 15, 7:29 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41.41%chance
30575
OptionVotes
1084
847
Will there be a prion disease outbreak in the United States before 2028 that kills more than 24 people?
Oct 7, 9:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
5.4%chance
8386
OptionVotes
419
24
Will there be a major outbreak of avian flu before the end of 2027?
Jan 24, 5:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.15%chance
549
OptionVotes
130
77
[Long Bet 936 clone] 50% increase in outbreaks in countries of candida auris from 2021 september by april 26. 2033?
Mar 28, 2:25 AMSep 26, 11:59 PM
56.19%chance
338
OptionVotes
171
100