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Prediction markets for Over It
Will Florida lose over 25% of it's land surface area to sea level rise by the end of 2075?
Nov 20, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8.14%chance
162595
OptionVotes
984
603
After the Israel-Hamas war is over, would the average Israeli believe it was a mistake?
Nov 6, 5:30 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
8.74%chance
261121
OptionVotes
1869
846
Will my penis measure over 6 inches the next time I measure it?
Aug 19, 4:05 PMOct 26, 4:04 PM
32.88%chance
71052
OptionVotes
143
70
Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?
Mar 16, 11:50 AMMar 16, 9:59 PM
18985
OptionProbability
35
19
14
12
12
6
1
1
0
Will the next governing coalition of the Netherlands dissolve before its term is over if the PVV is part of it?
Jan 23, 7:27 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
95.02%chance
6344
OptionVotes
312
22
If Morbius is added to Marvel Rivals, will the character shout "It's Morbin' time!" and morb all over the place?
Apr 21, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.31%chance
9172
OptionVotes
255
39
We will share a universal civility metric, and show that for most players, it increases over time
Sep 10, 2:57 PMSep 9, 2:57 PM
69.9%chance
687
OptionVotes
170
106
Will ""Buckle up bucko, this ain't over till it's o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 6, 5:28 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
18.44%chance
271
OptionVotes
1047
754
Will the Apple Watch Series 8 receive over 5 major OS updates in its lifetime? (Beyond WatchOS 13)
Oct 20, 4:25 AMMay 31, 1:59 PM
58%chance
211
OptionVotes
79
63
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