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Top stories

President Ruto Signs County Public Finance Act 2023, Revenue Allocation Bill 2025 Allocating Ksh.415B and Grants Fiscal Autonomy

President Ruto Signs County Public Finance Act 2023, Revenue Allocation Bill 2025 Allocating Ksh.415B and Grants Fiscal Autonomy

Authors

3

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Parliament

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

1%chance

2123287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?

Jun 20, 3:57 AMOct 15, 6:59 AM

2.91%chance

1118071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2288

911

Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Mar 30, 2:48 AMSep 21, 3:59 AM

48%chance

262923

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

914

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

665

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

Nov 6, 10:25 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

24.12%chance

232071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

856

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2969

337

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.49%chance

91006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1709

585

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

17902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

666

Will Elon Musk testify before the British Parliament before 2026?

Nov 21, 1:19 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

1.54%chance

8844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

800

13

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.5%chance

20465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

911

Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?

Aug 18, 8:15 AMJun 1, 10:59 PM

43.14%chance

12401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

111

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.26%chance

10157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

989

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