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Pentecostal News

    Prediction markets for Pentecostal

    What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter

    Sep 10, 10:03 PMDec 10, 10:57 PM
    600144972

    OptionProbability

    Resided in the same state as the incident

    The shooter killed Charlie Kirk

    The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders

    Did it on purpose

    The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya

    The shooter is not a extraterrestrial alien

    Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?

    Born in the United States

    Firearm used was otherwise lawfully owned under federal and state law

    Native English speaker (L1)

    Is a registered voter

    has at least one sibling

    at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

    Has a Reddit, Xitter, or Facebook account

    “Extremely Online” (market owner’s subjective judgment)

    n/a

    US citizen

    White

    used a bolt action rifle

    Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”

    wrote reference to furry culture on bullet casing

    Male

    Current or former LDS Church (mainline Mormon) member

    had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk

    20-27 years old

    JD Vance alludes to his sexual deviancy

    Skinny

    Turns themselves in to the police / FBI

    Lives (or has lived) in Utah

    ectomorph body type

    He killed Kirk to stop the spread of hatred.

    Owns steam profile 76561198159427286

    Will plead guilty

    at least a quarter of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

    Acted alone (no accomplices)

    Accident please N/A

    has purchased furry-related media or items

    Furry

    Gamer

    Is named Tyler Robinson

    Hunter

    iphone user

    Motivated primarily by political ideology

    Dead, as of October 10th (or earlier)

    has expressed positive sentiment towards furries

    disliked Charlie Kirk

    Inconsistent, incoherent, or idiosyncratic political ideology

    Unemployed

    Is left wing

    is/was in a sexual relationship with a transwoman

    has a furaffinity account

    Owns a car

    Lives (or has lived) in the Provo–Orem metropolitan area

    Strongly opposes zionism

    legally acquired the gun used to kill Charlie Kirk

    actually has an indecipherable ideology rooted deeply within internet culture that doesn’t clearly fall on either side.

    Has/had a partner named Lance Twiggs

    Is sentenced to death

    Had bullets with engraved messages on them

    Will kill again (including suicide)

    Communicated with peers primarily through Discord

    Not a virgin

    Owns physical furry paraphernalia

    extra charges are filed against him based on evidence discovered on his digital devices

    Conspired with an AI chatbot about this

    There is anecdotal evidence that they have a KiwiFarms account

    N/A (oops)

    is/was in a sexual relationship with a furry transwoman

    is/was in a sexual relationship with a furry

    Dies in prison

    has used the word yiff in written communication

    Purchased and played Furry Shades of Gay on Steam

    Has ADHD

    Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting the July 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump

    had attended any event featuring kirk prior to the one at utah valley university

    6 ft tall

    Kash Patel alludes to his sexual deviancy

    Has at least US$5.000 of credit card debt

    has vore kink

    Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting Luigi Mangione

    Anarchist (self-described; any "anarcho-" label counts)

    Owned the firearm used

    Went to furry events

    cross-dresser

    Purposefully waited until Kirk mentioned shootings to fire

    Has posted on r/toiletpaperusa

    Avowed right-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Republican, MAGA, right-libertarian, neo-Nazi, monarchist all count)

    Accelerationist (any subtype)

    Elon Musk alludes to his sexual deviancy

    Fan fiction author

    White cis-hetero Christian man

    Will be convicted by EOY 2026

    Wrote a manifesto before the shooting

    student at any university

    was prescribed psychiatric medication

    Owns a fursuit

    Participates in this market

    Transgender

    Has Reddit account with 10k+ karma

    psychedelics user

    Brony or a fan of My Little Pony

    Radical Centrist/JREG fan

    at least half of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

    Has a Bluesky account

    There is a broad consensus that they have a KiwiFarms account

    Posted about Charlie Kirk on social media before the shooting

    Current or previous student at University of Utah

    Current or former Calvary Chapel or other Pentecostal church member

    Former or current Charlie Kirk fan

    Contact with CVLT/764/similar

    made online adult/sexual content (e.g. onlyfans)

    Was on an FBI watchlist

    Involved in Israel/Palestine activism on either side

    has significant student load debt

    Age >= 40 (on the day of the shooting)

    Had diagnosed mental illness

    Is right wing

    J.K. Rowling alludes to his sexual deviancy

    Femboy

    History of illegal drug addiction

    White Nationalist

    Left-handed

    Was awarded a medal or award for marksmanship at any given point in time

    Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, or Transgender

    History of domestic violence

    Shooting was motivated by gun legislation in some way

    Ex law enforcement

    Will be convicted by EOY 2025

    Had felony conviction previously

    Incel

    groyper

    Was motivated by the Trump Epstein cover up?

    is Mossad

    Avowed left-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Democrat, socialist, communist, Green all count)

    Motivated by personal grudge rather than politics (e.g. sexual jealousy or other personal-life motive)

    Any documented connection to O9A (Order of Nine Angles, esoteric right-accelerationst group)

    Escapes carceral detention

    Was a student at UVU

    Involved in Effective Altruism

    Wanted to create pretext for violence against leftists

    Has Twitter account with more than 2000 tweets

    Had a wikipedia page prior to 9/10/2025

    Enjoys diplomatic immunity

    The shooter will read "If Anyone Builds It..." (either while on the run or in custody) and likes the book

    Current or former Roman Catholic

    A time traveller trying to avoid the worst

    Female Ninja Type Sniper

    Has a parent who drives for Uber

    Parent

    decel

    Not arrested before EOY 2025

    Fled the country after the shooting

    Will get killed by law enforcement

    Was a fan of Charlie Kirk

    Indian national

    The shooter is a professional hitman, who does not care much about politics or ideology

    Used a handgun

    Ex-military

    Not arrested as of midnight EST 9/14

    Has a PhD

    Has a Manifold account

    Muslim

    Veteran

    History of alcoholism

    Will share their first name with a famous video game character

    Teenager

    Will be apprehended at a McDonald's

    50 years or older

    Has a master's degree

    Will be apprehended at McDonald's, like Luigi Mangione.

    Is or was a computer science student

    Married

    Manifold assists with his capture

    Personally knew Charlie Kirk

    The shooter was an AI or an android controlled by AI

    Iranian national

    Registered Democrat

    is in fact three racoons dressed in a trenchcoat

    All questions in this market are resolved before 2026

    Meant to hit an apple on Charlie Kirk's head

    used telekinesis to correct the bullet's trajectory

    The shooter is a member of domain Bacteria

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