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Prediction markets for Peterson
OptionProbability
96
92
92
92
81
50
45
36
20
20
10
8
8
8
8
8
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
4
4
4
OptionProbability
610
518
Who will be the first public figure to confidently claim that artificial intelligences are people? (add your own)
May 14, 2:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
652889
OptionProbability
63
10
6
4
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
14.48%chance
122330
OptionVotes
2430
411
Jordan Peterson asks "what do you mean by 'meaning'" before 2030?
May 26, 7:04 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
32.63%chance
321495
OptionVotes
144
70
Will Jordan Peterson be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 2, 5:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.54%chance
251409
OptionVotes
1805
909
OptionVotes
1464
683
OptionProbability
76
13
10
7
7
6
5
5
5
5
OptionProbability
538
432
OptionProbability
74
15
7
2
2
OptionProbability
169
169
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