Phase News

Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?

Aug 3, 6:20 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

72.56%chance

8811208

OptionVotes

YES

1843

1480

Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?

Sep 6, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.3%chance

569655

OptionVotes

YES

2045

489

Will MetroCard be phased out by the end of 2025?

Mar 1, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82%chance

245149

OptionVotes

YES

2080

399

Will the VLA15 Lyme Disease vaccine "pass" its phase 3 human trial?

Aug 11, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.58%chance

1004230

OptionVotes

YES

1821

1442

Do scaling laws happen because models experience a ton of tiny phase changes which average out to a smooth curve?

Apr 18, 5:31 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

61.07%chance

301229

OptionVotes

YES

1172

860

Do scaling laws happen because models experience a ton of tiny phase changes which average out to a smooth curve?

Apr 17, 10:29 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM

48.41%chance

321000

OptionVotes

YES

1003

988

Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?

Aug 3, 6:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.26%chance

15884

OptionVotes

YES

1068

895

Will any ex-Hololive member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Apr 17, 10:21 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

29.74%chance

4537

OptionVotes

YES

1537

651

By 2026, at least 1 phase 3 clinical trial shows positive results with DMT or 5-MeO-DMT for a mental disorder.

May 26, 3:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.26%chance

7270

OptionVotes

YES

1231

812

Will the Phase 2 Trials of Lepodisiran be a Success?

May 19, 12:05 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

57.15%chance

3160

OptionVotes

YES

1155

866

Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Apr 17, 10:23 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

1150

OptionVotes

YES

1150

870

Will the Phase 3 Trials of Olpasiran be a Success?

May 20, 5:18 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

55.04%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

1106

904

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Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?

Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?

Will MetroCard be phased out by the end of 2025?

Will the VLA15 Lyme Disease vaccine "pass" its phase 3 human trial?

Do scaling laws happen because models experience a ton of tiny phase changes which average out to a smooth curve?

Do scaling laws happen because models experience a ton of tiny phase changes which average out to a smooth curve?

Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?

Will any ex-Hololive member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

By 2026, at least 1 phase 3 clinical trial shows positive results with DMT or 5-MeO-DMT for a mental disorder.

Will the Phase 2 Trials of Lepodisiran be a Success?

Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Will the Phase 3 Trials of Olpasiran be a Success?

Latest stories

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