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Robinhood, Kalshi Launch Pro and College Football Prediction Markets

1 year ago

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 10 politicians will keep power longer? The next four "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

3510993

OptionProbability

Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, 1953

Kim Jong Un, Supreme Leader of North Korea, 1982/1983/1984

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, 1952

Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, 1954

Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, 1950

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, President of Turkey, 1954

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine, 1978

Donald Trump, US President, 1946

Mahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine and Palestinian National Authority, 1935

Viktor Orbán, Prime Minister of Hungary, 1963

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, 1939

Nicolas Maduro, President of Venezuela, 1962

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Dec 24, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

114896

OptionProbability

Won’t leave before 2030

2029

2025

2026

2027

2028

Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?

Mar 20, 6:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

854307

OptionProbability

Narendra Modi

Vladimir Putin

Xi Jinping

Kim Jong Un

Will Donald Trump serve full term as the President of the USA?

Aug 14, 12:34 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

74.84%chance

173262

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

Will "The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power" run at least four seasons?

Apr 30, 5:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

44%chance

281597

OptionVotes

YES

1125

552

Will a four-legged robot run faster than a cheetah over a long distance outdoors before 2035?

Aug 7, 7:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.58%chance

271461

OptionVotes

YES

1513

872

How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?

Jan 2, 8:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

171041

OptionProbability

7-10

4-6

11-14

>14

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

64.02%chance

20691

OptionVotes

YES

1093

775

How many pages will the fifth volume of Robert Caro's "The Years of Lyndon Johnson" have?

Feb 27, 2:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6320

OptionProbability

Above 300

Above 600

Above 900

Above 1200

Above 1500

Above 2000

Above 2500

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Mar 13, 1:20 PMMar 20, 3:59 PM

78.73%chance

7175

OptionVotes

YES

355

126

United States gains new territory before China or Russia

Jan 13, 9:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.19%chance

4169

OptionVotes

YES

172

Will Fourth Power's 1 MWh Thermal Battery prototype be operational by Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 18, 5:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.08%chance

9104

OptionVotes

YES

227

153

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IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 10 politicians will keep power longer? The next four "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?

Will Donald Trump serve full term as the President of the USA?

Will "The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power" run at least four seasons?

Will a four-legged robot run faster than a cheetah over a long distance outdoors before 2035?

How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

How many pages will the fifth volume of Robert Caro's "The Years of Lyndon Johnson" have?

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

United States gains new territory before China or Russia

Will Fourth Power's 1 MWh Thermal Battery prototype be operational by Jan 1st 2027?

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