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Top stories

Robinhood, Kalshi Launch Pro and College Football Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets

Robinhood, Kalshi Launch Pro and College Football Prediction Markets

Authors

26

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Power Four

Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?

Mar 20, 6:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

823915

OptionProbability

Narendra Modi

Vladimir Putin

Xi Jinping

Kim Jong Un

52

29

11

8

Will Donald Trump serve full term as the President of the USA?

Aug 14, 12:34 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

74.84%chance

173262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1724

580

Will a four-legged robot run faster than a cheetah over a long distance outdoors before 2035?

Aug 7, 7:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.58%chance

271461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1513

872

Will "The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power" run at least four seasons?

Apr 30, 5:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34.91%chance

271397

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

727

When will Viktor Orbán's rule end?

Mar 15, 1:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

201076

OptionProbability

2026 - 2027

2030 - 2031

2032 - 2033

2034 - 2035

After 2035

2028 - 2029

Other

Before 2026

69

8

5

5

5

4

3

1

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

64.02%chance

20691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

775

What will the average yearly inflation in the US be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?

Jun 7, 12:10 PMJan 1, 12:08 PM

2664

OptionProbability

2 - 3.99%

4 - 5.99%

6 - 7.99%

0 - 1.99%

Below 0%

8% or above

28

28

28

15

1

1

To Lam to become the next president of Vietnam, in addition to being General Secretary

Jan 25, 7:37 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

92.06%chance

3261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

340

29

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Mar 13, 1:20 PMMar 20, 3:59 PM

78.73%chance

7175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

355

126

Will Fourth Power's 1 MWh Thermal Battery prototype be operational by Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 18, 5:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.08%chance

9104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

153

Will Republican leaders say Trump lacks authority in 2026?

Jan 20, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.77%chance

675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

77

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.69%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

80

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