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Top stories

Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions

Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions

Authors

3

6 days ago

Prediction markets for Presidency of the Republic

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

602674355

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Donald Trump Jr

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump, Sr

Tulsi Gabbard

Ron Desantis

Glenn Youngkin

None

Nikki Haley

Tim Scott

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tucker Carlson

Josh Hawley

Greg Abbott

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Kristi Noem

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Steven Mnuchin

Brian Kemp

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

Ivanka Trump

@Mira

Nick Fuentes

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

49

15

8

8

5

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?

Jul 1, 9:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.65%chance

8837404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12909

7762

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

316829

OptionProbability

Other

J.D. Vance

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Ron DeSantis

Glenn Youngkin

Marco Rubio

Tucker Carlson

Eric Trump

Ivanka Trump

Greg Abbott

48

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

2

The first female US president will be Republican

Nov 5, 12:50 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

49.01%chance

543678

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1197

699

If the Republican candidate for president loses in 2028, will they deny the election result?

Mar 2, 7:55 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

66.42%chance

353173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1406

711

Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?

Jul 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.19%chance

152832

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1230

813

Will the Republican Party nominate a woman for president in 2028?

Jul 22, 1:21 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

13.44%chance

241994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2537

394

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.79%chance

151206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

928

Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?

Jan 10, 9:01 PMNov 16, 5:59 AM

40.51%chance

16816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

713

Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

Nov 27, 6:45 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

15588

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

828

Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime?

Apr 10, 1:33 AMApr 20, 10:59 PM

68.48%chance

18465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

958

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Middle East
Politics
World
Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions
Authors
3
6 days ago

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