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Top stories

WhatsApp Adds AI ‘Writing Help’ Tool to Rephrase and Proof Messages

WhatsApp Adds AI ‘Writing Help’ Tool to Rephrase and Proof Messages

Authors

13

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Private Processing

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.58%chance

7634311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

809

Will DOGE cause a data breach during 2025?

Feb 7, 3:17 AMDec 31, 1:41 AM

9.95%chance

12118422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3008

332

New pipeline project proposed in Canada in next 6 months?

Jun 8, 1:09 AMDec 8, 1:06 AM

2.37%chance

267696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6422

156

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.38%chance

424565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

981

837

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

337

Will any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?

Aug 25, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

9.94%chance

62020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3010

332

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Jan 4, 4:58 PMJan 11, 10:59 PM

161278

OptionProbability

Geopolitics

Technology

Medical/Healthcare

Economy

Fundamental research

Space Exploration

Environment and sustainability

Art and culture

Human Rights

Society

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

69

68

63

62

60

56

48

41

41

41

34

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

50.65%chance

7826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

987

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Jul 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 10:46 PM

60.34%chance

7337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1233

811

First event in new White House ballroom?

Oct 26, 4:40 PMFeb 1, 5:35 PM

4337

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before July 2028

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2027

Before July 2026

76

72

69

50

50

1

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.47%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

1041

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