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Prediction markets for Private Processing
OptionVotes
1457
687
OptionVotes
2124
471
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.35%chance
444648
OptionVotes
1001
753
Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?
Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
10.22%chance
22109
OptionVotes
2964
337
Will any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?
Aug 25, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
9.94%chance
62020
OptionVotes
3010
332
OptionVotes
2271
579
Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?
Apr 27, 1:34 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
23.94%chance
221036
OptionVotes
178
56
OptionProbability
65
49
41
28
6
1
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
OptionVotes
1233
811
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%chance
4157
OptionVotes
1091
1011
Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 8000 t?
Mar 30, 9:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
30.77%chance
150
OptionVotes
150
67