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Prediction markets for Project Zero
[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?
Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
20.52%chance
3412373
OptionVotes
19679
5082
OptionVotes
2485
402
5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.
Dec 27, 8:16 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
13.91%chance
283077
OptionVotes
2488
402
Will OpenOffice.org be officially declared obsolete/unmaintained/archived by the Apache Foundation in 2024/2025?
Jan 30, 6:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
22.33%chance
371634
OptionVotes
1757
606
AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉
Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM
6.17%chance
12628
OptionVotes
1385
915
OptionProbability
416
404
OptionVotes
130
77
Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?
Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM
20.94%chance
9211
OptionVotes
284
117
OptionProbability
100
62
58
58
53
31
29
26
20
20
Will there be Starknet L2 over TON by the end of 2026?
Mar 3, 12:53 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM
53.61%chance
3176
OptionVotes
112
98
OptionProbability
57
56
54
50
43
34
Will California have a lower GDP per capital than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?
May 1, 12:27 AMJan 18, 8:00 PM
53.93%chance
326
OptionVotes
90
89
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