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Qatar News

    Prediction markets for Qatar

    Which teams will qualify for the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

    Jul 28, 5:23 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
    4836860

    OptionProbability

    France

    England

    Brazil

    Germany

    Japan

    Netherlands

    Sweden

    Belgium

    USA

    Croatia

    Mexico

    Italy

    Australia

    Colombia

    Norway

    South Africa

    Korea Republic

    Switzerland

    Iran

    Chile

    Saudi Arabia

    Ghana

    Egypt

    Turkiye

    Senegal

    Canada

    Cote d'Ivoire

    Ecuador

    Algeria

    Qatar

    Scotland

    Panama

    Costa Rica

    New Zealand

    Nigeria

    Tunisia

    Cameroon

    Venezuela

    Denmark

    Ukraine

    Poland

    Serbia

    Congo DR

    Greece

    Czechia

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Iraq

    Jamaica

    Dominican Republic

    Hungary

    Austria

    Curacao

    Slovakia

    Slovenia

    Jordan

    Republic of Ireland

    Uzbekistan

    Honduras

    Georgia

    Wales

    Peru

    Bolivia

    Russia

    Congo

    Cabo Verde

    Albania

    Kosovo

    Guinea

    Syria

    Bulgaria

    Belarus

    El Salvador

    Vanuatu

    Puerto Rico

    Cuba

    Thailand

    Iceland

    China

    DPR Korea

    Afghanistan

    Sudan

    Rwanda

    India

    Liberia

    Bahamas

    Haiti

    Finland

    Libya

    Estonia

    Singapore

    Romania

    South Sudan

    Chinese Taipei

    Myanmar

    Nepal

    North Macedonia

    Northern Ireland

    Oman

    Israel

    Montenegro

    Gabon

    Uganda

    Bahrain

    Guatemala

    Vietnam

    Tajikistan

    United Arab Emirates

    Luxembourg

    Equatorial Guinea

    Kyrgyz Republic

    Comoros

    Kenya

    Kazakhstan

    Mauritania

    Niger

    The Gambia

    Indonesia

    Namibia

    Sierra Leone

    Suriname

    Azerbaijan

    Malawi

    Zimbabwe

    Nicaragua

    Guinea-Bissau

    Philippines

    Malaysia

    Latvia

    Central African Republic

    Burundi

    Lesotho

    Guyana

    Eswatini

    St. Lucia

    Cambodia

    Barbados

    Bangladesh

    Dominica

    Sao Tome and Principe

    Djibouti

    Pakistan

    Burkina Faso

    Armenia

    Moldova

    Malta

    Andorra

    Maldives

    Chad

    Eritrea

    Cook Islands

    Sri Lanka

    Bhutan

    Brunei

    Somalia

    Guam

    Solomon Islands

    Mali

    Angola

    Zambia

    Benin

    Mozambique

    Fiji

    Papua New Guinea

    Tanzania

    Lebanon

    Togo

    Turkmenistan

    Ethiopia

    Yemen

    Botswana

    Lithuania

    St. Kitts and Nevis

    Hong Kong

    Antigua and Barbuda

    Mauritius

    Belize

    Mongolia

    Cayman Islands

    Seychelles

    Cyprus

    Macau

    Kuwait

    Trinidad and Tobago

    Madagascar

    Liechtenstein

    Palestine

    Grenada

    San Marino

    New Caledonia

    Faroe Islands

    Tahiti

    Bermuda

    St. Vincent / Grenadines

    Montserrat

    Laos

    Samoa

    Aruba

    American Samoa

    Tonga

    Timor-Leste

    97

    96

    96

    96

    95

    94

    91

    90

    90

    89

    87

    86

    86

    85

    85

    85

    84

    83

    82

    80

    80

    80

    78

    76

    75

    72

    71

    70

    66

    66

    60

    60

    60

    59

    58

    55

    54

    53

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    47

    46

    46

    45

    45

    45

    44

    42

    42

    39

    38

    38

    38

    37

    36

    35

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    33

    32

    31

    30

    30

    30

    30

    28

    28

    28

    28

    27

    25

    24

    23

    23

    23

    22

    22

    22

    21

    21

    20

    20

    20

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    14

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    12

    11

    11

    9

    8

    8

    7

    5

    5

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

    Israel

    Hamas

    PLO

    International Peacekeeping Force

    Other

    Arab only Peacekeeping Force

    A new Gaza-elected government

    United States

    Territorial rule by tribal clans

    PLA

    African Peacekeeping Force

    Egypt

    United Arab Emirates

    Qatar

    Jordan

    Saudi Arabia

    Palestinian Islamic Jihad

    Turkey

    32

    28

    24

    5

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Next airline to default

    Nov 20, 7:54 PMDec 20, 7:47 PM
    1420196

    OptionProbability

    Frontier

    No default amongst those listed before 2030

    JetBlue

    Bermudair

    Avelo

    United

    American

    Southwest

    Alaska

    Air Canada

    Ryanair

    Qantas

    Cathay Pacific

    KLM

    Turkish Airlines

    Qatar Airlines

    Virgin Atlantic

    Iberia

    LATAM

    Aeromexico

    Allegiant Air

    Breeze

    Sun Country

    Lufthansa

    Emirates

    Singapore Airlines

    ANA

    Air New Zealand

    23

    18

    12

    6

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Countries that attack Iran before the end of 2026?

    Mar 4, 6:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    384546

    OptionProbability

    USA

    Israel

    Saudi Arabia

    United Arab Amirates

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    Qatar

    Jordan

    United Kingdom

    Azerbaijan

    Iraq

    Pakistan

    Lebanon

    India

    Syria

    Oman

    France

    Turkey

    Afghanistan

    Cyprus

    Greece

    Germany

    Italy

    Turkenistan

    Ukraine

    Yemen

    100

    100

    99

    99

    95

    95

    54

    33

    16

    14

    13

    12

    11

    11

    10

    9

    9

    8

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    4

    Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?

    Jan 6, 10:00 PMJan 12, 10:00 PM
    292471

    OptionProbability

    Philippines

    Fiji Region

    Other

    Indonesia

    Tonga

    Mexico

    Japan

    Chile

    United States

    Russia

    Turkiye

    China

    Ethiopia

    Nepal

    Vanuatu

    Afghanistan

    Peru

    New Zealand

    Colombia

    Guatemala

    Morocco

    Sweden

    Qatar

    87

    56

    50

    28

    28

    23

    23

    22

    19

    18

    13

    10

    10

    10

    10

    9

    8

    8

    8

    7

    5

    4

    2

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1261

    970

    OptionProbability

    Monaco

    Liechtenstein

    Luxembourg

    Republic of Ireland

    Bermuda

    Other

    Norway

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Qatar

    Estonia

    Poland

    America

    South Korea

    United Arab Emirates

    China

    India

    20

    14

    9

    9

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Never or 2029 and After

    July-Dec 2027

    Jan-June 2028

    July-Dec 2028

    Before July 2027

    28

    18

    18

    18

    17

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    181

    30

    Will the US keep a base in Qatar until 2030?

    Mar 4, 9:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    63.67%chance
    460

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    191

    136

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    127

    92

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