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Prediction markets for Quark
Does the CKM matrix violate unitarity (near the 0.1% level)?
Aug 29, 2:26 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
22.72%chance
241362
OptionVotes
987
952
Is 1,000 atoms ever sufficient for the experience of suffering, under any design or any circumstance? (Upgradable KBC, resolves in 2025)
Feb 6, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.07%chance
231034
OptionVotes
1695
814
OptionProbability
25
16
10
8
8
7
7
5
5
4
3
2
OptionVotes
350
29
What will be the next particle discovered outside the Standard Model (2022)?
Nov 6, 7:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12186
OptionProbability
54
16
13
6
5
2
2
1
1
0
OptionVotes
125
80
OptionVotes
100
100