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Prediction markets for Reels
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Dec 21, 6:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
74.94%chance
9231514
OptionVotes
1708
569
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?
Jan 16, 5:53 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM
21%chance
18215765
OptionVotes
2021
133
Conditional on trump being reelected in 2024, will he become a dictator?
Feb 28, 11:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.93%chance
222724
OptionVotes
996
757
If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term?
Jul 4, 11:15 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
90.07%chance
352449
OptionVotes
3012
332
OptionVotes
761
13
Will Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?
Feb 7, 7:11 PMNov 4, 6:59 AM
85.04%chance
81479
OptionVotes
2384
419
By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)
Feb 22, 6:11 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
2165
OptionProbability
60
56
50
40
39
OptionVotes
232
86
Will Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Feb 5, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.79%chance
7111
OptionVotes
135
75
What do you believe is the upper threshold of harm that AI/machine systems could cause this century (w/ 1-99% threat)?
Apr 6, 2:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
571
OptionProbability
49
29
12
9
Will Bryan Johnson switch to vegan collagen peptides by EOY 2026? (eg reelabs...)
Jan 3, 2:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
46.99%chance
127
OptionVotes
53
47