Reloaded News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Reloaded
OptionProbability
Magic: The Gathering
Cult of the Lamb
Death's Door
Shift Happens
Baba is You
Understand
The Witness
Hollow Knight
It Takes Two
Unravel Two
Portal 2
Braid
Portal
Superliminal
The Talos Principle
The Talos Principle 2
Antichamber
Perspective
Portal Reloaded
Portal Stories: Mel
Thinking with Time Machine
Cell Machine
Bokura
Hades
Hades 2
Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes
Superhot
Slay the Princess
Mind over Magnet
Escape Academy
blue prince
Pico Park 2
Viewfinder
Silksong
Baba Is You XTREME
Papers Please
The Room
Pico Park
Wargroove
Patrick's Parabox
Q.U.B.E. 2
Q.U.B.E.
Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A
We Were Here Too
Ultimate Chicken Horse
Papers, Please
Mini Motorways
Minecraft
The Stanley Parable
We Were Here
Terraria
Chants of Sennaar
Outer Wilds
Patch Quest
Crawl
Rayman Legends
Tricky Towers
Arknights
Mindustry
Unrailed!
Don't Starve
Satisfactory
Overcooked! 2
Manifold Garden
We Were Here Forever
Coup (card game)
Goragoa
scarlet hollow
Subnauticta
We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip
Noita
Clandestine
Nobody Saves the World
Mario Party
Lovers in Dangerous Spacetime
Split Fiction
Rayman Legends
LittleBigPlanet 3
Trine 2
Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light
Bean and nothingness
Nomifactory
Monifactory
Rebirth of the Night
Induction
Akane
Morrowind
going under: internships are heck
Animal Well
English Country Tune
English Country Tune
Quantum Conundrum
Project Triangle Strategy
Sokosoko
Physics-Breaking Boxes
Inbox Unbox
Linelith
Boxing Up Bamboo
Frog Wizard Gem Quest
The Vacuum Cleaner in the Room
Clockwork Cat
salt and sactuary
From Muddled to Clean
Path to Nowhere
Defender's Quest: Valley of the Forgotten
Lorelei and the Laser Eyes
A Monster's Expedition
Solas 128
Gentoo Rescue
Ugly
Toki Tori 2+
Veggie Quest: The Puzzle Game
Isles of Sea and Sky
Chroma Zero
Paquerette
Riven
Baba Files Taxes
Baba Is Quiz
A Solitaire Mystery
IT'S A BLOCK-PUSHING GAME
Leaf's Odyssey
Submachine
LOK Digital
Leap Year
Recursed
Fever Meme
Passant: A Chess Roguelike
tetr.io (quickplay duos)
Taiji
Corekeeper
Emberknights
Sworn
Jumpspace
Mountain Peak
A Way Out
The Past Within
How 2 Escape
All You Need is Help
Melbits World
Parallel Experiment
Superbugs: Awaken
Tick Tock: A Tale for Two
Tristoy
Unboxing the Cryptic Killer
Tetris Effect
Pushmo
World of Goo
The Swapper
The Séance of Blake Manor
Fugitive (board/card game)
Codenames Duet (card game)
Fugitive (board/card game)
Nine Sols
Sineus Arena
Magicka 2
Cuphead
Risk of Rain 2
Ender Lilies: Quietus of the Knights
Botany Manor
Prince of Persia: The Lost Crown
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
The Looker
The Pedestrian
The Entropy Centre
Mirklurk
Pixel IP Please
Exploding kittens
Zero Escape: Virtue's Last Reward
Moonlighter
Baldur's Gate 3
Myst
We Were Here Together
Hyperrogue
Void Stranger
PEAK
Sackboy: A Big Adventure
Arc Raiders
Pandemic (boardgame)
Unstable Unicorns 🦄
Tunic
Moving Out
Moving Out
Magicka
Space Station 13
Expedition 33
Stoneshard
Final Fantasy Tactics (original)
Final Fantasy Tactics Advanced
Final Fantasy Tactics Advanced 2
Octopath Travel
Gloomhaven
Escape Simulator
Monopoly
Yume Nikki
Islands of Insight
Factorio
The House of DaVinci
Lingo
Timberborn
ARC-AGI-3
A Couple Of Cubes
Root (tabletop or digital version)
Children of Morta
Rainworld
Deadly Rooms of Death
Fez
CrossCode
Cocoon
Into the Breach
SteamWorld Dig
Snakebird
Chess
Slay the Spire
Among Us
Beyond: Two Souls
Stephen's Sausage Roll
Amazing Chicken Adventures
Spiritfarer
Wingspan
Stardew Valley
Can of Wormholes
Disco Elysium
Splendor (tabletop game)
Overcooked
Return of the Obra Dinn
Inscryption
Slice and Dice
Glider (1988)
Teardown
Human: Fall Flat
Castle Crashers
Tokimeki Memorial
999
Detroit: Become Human
Zero Time Dilemma
Astroneer
Wild Woods
What Remains of Edith Finch
Advance Wars
Doki Doki Literature Club!
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
USSR Simulator (https://flowlab.io/game/play/1151923) (trash but still)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
80
80
80
80
80
80
75
72
72
71
70
70
69
64
62
62
61
61
60
60
60
59
59
58
57
57
57
56
56
56
55
55
55
54
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
47
46
45
45
44
43
42
42
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
38
38
36
36
35
35
34
30
28
28
27
25
25
25
25
25
24
15
10
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What will be the best Slay the Spire 2 win streak one month after the game's full release?
OptionProbability
Above 4
Above 6
Above 8
Above 10
Above 12
Above 14
Above 16
Above 18
Above 20
Above 25
Above 30
95
87
75
65
55
45
35
25
15
10
5
OptionProbability
Add tooltips that explain how everything works
Let a user filter to markets in which they have positions
If the user enters a date, it should be treated as a range from the beginning of that day to the end, not just the single millisecond at which that day begins.
Make the choice of which markets to store locally smarter, so it won't accidentally cross the 5MB localStorage limit.
Add proper inputs for dates and drop downs for categories
Multi-buy in multiple-choice markets
Add a quickbet button where the user inputs their expected probability, and it calculates and places the appropriate Kelly bet size based on their portfolio.
Add a tiny graph/sparkline on each row to show how the market has changed recently
Generate RSS feeds for user-specified queries (like https://hnrss.org/newest?points=100)
Add support for arbitraging similar markets/answers, either treating them as summing to 1 or specifying a target relative change percentage.
Make a userscript that overrides Manifold's default search with Isaac's search
Add an option to display each answer on a multiple-choice market as its own row in the search results.
A column to display the market price X amount of time ago, input by the user
Allow users to define more than one dashboard, and share them via URL with other people
Option to show dates in a standardized day/hour/minute format that all lines up
Add a filter to only show markets the user hasn't seen before.
Make the search boxes look nicer so they're not just a giant pile of input boxes. Lay them out in columns or hide ones the user isn't using or something.
Add an OR conjunction for search terms, so people can search for something like "question includes 'altman' OR 'OpenAI'"
Open markets in new tab by default
Add a "concise mode", which removes all extraneous text from the table, like the percent sign, M$ sign, etc. and aligns them all nicely
Add fuzzy searching that can catch typos and synonyms
Let people resize columns, or add intelligent column resizing
Let people see the limit orders of a selected user in each market
Dark Mode
Add support for other platforms. Polymarket, Kalshi, etc.
Add tiny arrows in each column header as a visual indicator that they can click there to sort the column
Let people see the position of a selected user in each market
Add reminders to check back on a market after some time
Add direct links to user profile and/or group pages, maybe accessible by shift-clicking on them.
Check to see if any of the code has changed upon page load, and if so wipe the cached market data and reload it.
Let people see the profit of a selected user in each market
Fix the graphical issues that cause fields to unfocus and dropdown menus to disappear each time new data is loaded
Add some way for clicking on a group or creator to wipe the rest of the search. Maybe shift-click? Or maybe it should be the default?
Add more complex diff detection so that the client can catch up on what it missed if it loses internet for a few minutes, or at least tell the user it's out of date
Add hotkeys to make trading and searching even faster
Add more sensible step values to the numeric input fields
Allow people to place long-term limit orders
Make the "last updated time" field include edits to the market description
Somehow convince Manifold to waive the API fee if bets are placed via Predictionary
Make it look not-terrible (this suggestion is for aesthetics only, not functionally-useful layout/display features)
Allow users to see whether a multiple-choice market is select-one or select-multiple
Display who can add answers on a multiple-choice market
Give it a better name than Predictionary. (Suggestions welcome.)
Add support for Polymarket front-running. (https://medium.com/@eightyhi/blockchain-based-amms-arent-fit-for-prediction-markets-bbe6ad7a33ca)
Make a row flash when its probability changes
Add a bulk bet button that can bet on all markets in the dashboard
Fix the bug that causes some resolved markets to not be marked as closed
Add a way to view/query detailed historical market data
Add a one-click feedback form on the page itself
Fix links to Manifold markets (currently all links go to "/{username}/undefined")
Add a filter/sort by recently subsidized
Add an option to change the height of each row such that it's proportional to the width of the interval between the previous market's close time and the next market's close time, so distance down the page represents time in the future.
Fix the bug that causes numeric markets to be displayed as though they were regular percentage markets.
Include all unlisted markets
72
63
55
55
55
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
41
41
41
What will Persona 4 Revival's OpenCritic score (similar to Metacritic) be 2 weeks after release?
OptionProbability
86 - 89
94 - 100
Below 86
90 - 93
30
24
23
23