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Prediction markets for Replay
OptionVotes
1166
858
OptionVotes
1194
838
Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?
Mar 27, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
65.99%chance
10177
OptionVotes
257
192
Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"
Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
52.44%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the LiveCodeBench leaderboard?
Jul 13, 8:49 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
125