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Prediction markets for Sapien
Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?
Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
33.07%chance
5810769
OptionVotes
11052
10904
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
Dec 16, 1:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
3.03%chance
212421
OptionVotes
2616
879
OptionVotes
2382
774
Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Buckingham Palace, from before 11,000 BC?
Mar 4, 6:43 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
3.48%chance
14755
OptionVotes
1439
947
OptionProbability
100
100
100
72
58
57
56
56
50
50
46
41
33
30
0
By 2035, what whacky types of cultivated/lab-grown meat will be commercially available?
Jan 18, 12:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16583
OptionProbability
62
56
50
49
48
44
44
31
23
18
7
Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?
Aug 16, 11:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
55%chance
10557
OptionVotes
1106
905
Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to the Great Pyramid, from before 11,000 BC?
Mar 4, 6:43 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
4.82%chance
14495
OptionVotes
1296
951
OptionProbability
38
27
22
5
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What will be the most complete individual Denisovan fossil discovered by 2035?
Aug 19, 10:50 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
6148
OptionProbability
71
41
34
31
31
27
20
19
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