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What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
Jan 30, 3:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
271116325
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91
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Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?
Nov 20, 3:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
37.05%chance
9512459
OptionVotes
1817
544
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36%chance
325752
OptionVotes
1335
751
Will any company successfully develop a therapeutic treatment that rejuvenates healthspan by at least 10 years by 2030?
Jan 22, 10:25 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
37.39%chance
404630
OptionVotes
1128
711
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
79.08%chance
382747
OptionVotes
1720
680
Will a spacecraft capable of propulsion above 1% the speed of light be achieved before 2040?
Mar 17, 1:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
31%chance
231971
OptionVotes
1119
270
OptionVotes
1739
575
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
86.64%chance
16674
OptionVotes
1123
959
If most of the economy becomes automated without us all dying, will Eliezer Yudkowsky admit that he was wrong?
May 15, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
36.89%chance
23418
OptionVotes
131
76
OptionVotes
316
32
Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
May 22, 11:08 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM
3180
OptionProbability
55
55
47
46
45
Will Carl Bergstrom become fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) by 2050?
Sep 21, 9:08 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100


