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Prediction markets for SEAS Act
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026
Feb 2, 11:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
79.2%chance
293458
OptionVotes
1369
865
Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?
Aug 4, 4:16 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM
4.23%chance
141393
OptionVotes
1331
953
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?
Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
70.01%chance
15481
OptionVotes
997
957
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
65.91%chance
16384
OptionVotes
1104
925
OptionProbability
80
72
66
44
3
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