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Prediction markets for Serve
OptionProbability
91
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
4224
1220
OptionProbability
53
35
9
1
1
0
0
0
OptionVotes
3193
386
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
Dec 27, 4:01 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
8.44%chance
9620327
OptionVotes
4405
671
OptionVotes
3152
607
Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?
Feb 2, 3:07 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
79.08%chance
756743
OptionVotes
2027
1026
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?
Jun 10, 8:53 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
4.81%chance
414899
OptionVotes
4634
379
Will Trump serve a full second term (after winning in 2024)?
Dec 30, 5:14 AMJan 19, 11:00 PM
84%chance
474105
OptionVotes
1464
874
Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?
Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM
17.74%chance
52226
OptionVotes
8092
5234
If Jon Ossoff is reelected, will he serve a full 6 year term?
Oct 22, 12:02 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM
68.28%chance
142175
OptionVotes
5422
4702
Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?
Apr 13, 6:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
32.23%chance
135490
OptionVotes
2106
1843