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Prediction markets for Service
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?
Jan 16, 7:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
65%chance
579291019
OptionVotes
1422
158
Will there exist a service for full-parameter fine-tuning of Llama 3.1 405B?
Aug 18, 12:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
33.74%chance
3464174
OptionVotes
14016
7134
Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?
Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
63.71%chance
596835
OptionVotes
13221
7577
Will gmail or outlook have a "persuasion detection system" built into their email services by 2025 end?
Apr 23, 12:36 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
17%chance
674019
OptionVotes
1943
1128
Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
52.77%chance
541909
OptionVotes
1141
1067
Will Apple add another service to it’s Apple One subscription before Aug 13th 2025?
Aug 13, 12:06 PMAug 13, 10:59 PM
41.81%chance
291827
OptionVotes
1415
371
If Trump is sentenced to jail time will the Secret Service go with him?
Aug 19, 12:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
72.35%chance
28923
OptionVotes
1689
1092
Will Russia or ROC be allowed in the Olympics again before Nintendo ends online play and services for the Switch?
Jan 25, 3:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
75%chance
15707
OptionVotes
1062
969
Will there be internet service on the Moon at the end of 2040?
Mar 28, 4:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
55.03%chance
21446
OptionVotes
1059
945
Will the United States Postal Service be Privatized before the end of 2032?
Dec 17, 2:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.64%chance
10334
OptionVotes
1099
1069
Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 2025-12-31
Jan 2, 11:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
54.23%chance
6290
OptionVotes
1089
919
In 2030, will we still believe economies should mature into becoming service-based? [vibes]
Feb 20, 11:07 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
66.8%chance
13252
OptionVotes
1012
960
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