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Manifold Plays RPS ○ Will Manifold defeat Tumbles using Futarchy? (Ṁ10k prize*)
Aug 2, 1:44 AMAug 19, 11:20 PM
52.02%chance
227411
OptionVotes
104
96
What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030?
Jun 25, 8:24 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
314818
OptionProbability
66
58
37
21
6
6
OptionVotes
1771
565
OptionProbability
99
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Can anyone beat me in the Pokemon Monotype Gauntlet? [Rock vs Fire round]
Jan 16, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.56%chance
11494
OptionVotes
1706
586
How many entries on the Ultimate Showdown crossover spreadsheet at the end of 2028?
Aug 6, 12:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2931
By the end of 2026, will AI have empowered me to build a bot that can reach the top 500 in the current gen of OU?
Oct 16, 3:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
38%chance
451
OptionVotes
110
74
Sweet & Sour Showdown: Will Michigan Sweet be priced higher than Wyoming Sour crude oil on Juneteenth 2026?
Jun 15, 10:37 PMJun 18, 11:59 PM
69.23%chance
150
OptionVotes
150
67
Sweet & Sour Showdown: Will Michigan Sweet be priced higher than Wyoming Sour crude oil on Juneteenth?
Jun 25, 5:46 AMJun 20, 3:59 AM
56.46%chance
226
OptionVotes
114
88
Sweet & Sour Showdown: Will Michigan Sweet be priced higher than Wyoming Sour crude oil on Blue Monday 2026?
Jan 21, 5:11 AMJan 23, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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