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Top stories

Deep Silver Reveals Dawn of War IV for 2026 at Gamescom

Deep Silver Reveals Dawn of War IV for 2026 at Gamescom

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1 year ago

Activision Sets Nov. 14 Release for Call of Duty Black Ops 7

Activision Sets Nov. 14 Release for Call of Duty Black Ops 7

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Prediction markets for Skirmish

When will Russia attack Europe with military force?

Nov 18, 7:18 AMMar 19, 10:59 PM

575964

OptionProbability

Never

Before end of 2033

Before end of 2029

In 2034 or later

33

27

24

16

Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 6:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

43.55%chance

512190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

748

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

82%chance

121189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

213

47

🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?

Apr 6, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.2%chance

71181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

94

Will the US violate the sovereignty of Canada before January 20th 2029?

Mar 7, 3:56 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

36.12%chance

31877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026?

Jan 8, 12:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.89%chance

16820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

579

17

Will a military skirmish with at least one casualty take place outside of Earth's atmosphere before 2050?

Feb 3, 11:52 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

54.25%chance

11553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

275

102

Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034?

Jan 26, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.33%chance

7493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

China vs Japan Conflict before 2027?

Apr 29, 10:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12369

OptionProbability

No, status quo persists

Yes, via naval or aerial skirmish

Yes, via economic or cyber warfare

Yes

No, diplomatic tensions remain below armed conflict

82

5

5

4

3

Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?

Apr 19, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.15%chance

9369

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will a third warld war erupt before 2050

Sep 14, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.18%chance

9111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

99

when will there be peace in Sudan and South Sudan? (includes both internal and external conflicts)

Apr 20, 12:44 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

256

OptionProbability

2032 and over

2028-2029

2030-2031

2026-2027

31

29

29

10

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