Slack News

AI Help-Desk Startup Pylon Raises $31 Million From a16z and Bain

1 year ago

Will an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027?

Jul 31, 1:09 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

41.94%chance

172227

OptionVotes

YES

1176

850

When will the waiting list for kidney transplants in the US be eliminated?

Oct 17, 8:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13400

OptionProbability

2050 or Later

2030-2034

2040-2049

Before 2030

2035-2039

Will AI stop being dumb by the end of 2027?

Jul 17, 7:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38%chance

13249

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will there be a waiting list for kidney transplants in the US by end of 2030?

Oct 17, 8:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

90.06%chance

7227

OptionVotes

YES

351

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Sep 17, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:43 PM

2130

OptionProbability

2029

2027

Will G7 countries eliminate plastic pollution by 2040?

Apr 21, 4:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.17%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will bits in bio slack (bitsinbio.slack.com) finally upgrade so people can have access to more than 90 days, by EOY2027?

Apr 27, 8:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.32%chance

114

OptionVotes

YES

114

Will the AI alignment slack's entire history stop being accessible (eg if its paid plan on slack is discontinued by 2029

Mar 12, 4:12 AMMar 20, 3:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

130

111

Will Alex Radu find a sponsor for Disposition (or any other YSWS) by the end of November 2026?

Sep 23, 1:10 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
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AI Help-Desk Startup Pylon Raises $31 Million From a16z and Bain
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1 year ago

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Will an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027?

When will the waiting list for kidney transplants in the US be eliminated?

Will AI stop being dumb by the end of 2027?

Will there be a waiting list for kidney transplants in the US by end of 2030?

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Will G7 countries eliminate plastic pollution by 2040?

Will bits in bio slack (bitsinbio.slack.com) finally upgrade so people can have access to more than 90 days, by EOY2027?

Will the AI alignment slack's entire history stop being accessible (eg if its paid plan on slack is discontinued by 2029

Will Alex Radu find a sponsor for Disposition (or any other YSWS) by the end of November 2026?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram