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Top stories

Indonesia Marks 80th Independence Day with Military Airshow, Carnival and President Prabowo Leading Ceremony Amid Setya Novanto Release

Indonesia Marks 80th Independence Day with Military Airshow, Carnival and President Prabowo Leading Ceremony Amid Setya Novanto Release

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8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Sovereign

Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?

May 28, 8:00 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

76.12%chance

256327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1578

730

New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027?

Jun 11, 1:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.03%chance

103146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4504

2376

SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 13, 12:06 AM

15.74%chance

202322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2314

432

Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?

Aug 9, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.95%chance

101567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1392

718

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.17%chance

9959

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1204

831

Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?

Dec 11, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.86%chance

21764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

804

What will US Sovereign debt be in 2030?

Aug 5, 11:36 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

75.12%chance

10583

OptionProbability

NO

YES

506

340

Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?

Feb 3, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.46%chance

5482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1265

790

EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?

Nov 20, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.85%chance

3309

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

939

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

Dec 3, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.16%chance

4275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

78

Will the US Sovereign Wealth Fund Hold Bitcoin?

Feb 6, 8:21 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

61.74%chance

6115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

81

Will any sovereign-AI deal ≥$10B be announced before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.5%chance

25

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

99

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