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Top stories

Indonesia Marks 80th Independence Day with Military Airshow, Carnival and President Prabowo Leading Ceremony Amid Setya Novanto Release

Indonesia Marks 80th Independence Day with Military Airshow, Carnival and President Prabowo Leading Ceremony Amid Setya Novanto Release

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8

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Sovereign

Will the US have a sovereign wealth fund by 2026?

Sep 7, 3:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.62%chance

456686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2162

462

Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?

May 28, 8:00 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

78.41%chance

246226

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NO

YES

1706

693

Will the territorial unity of the Russian Federation fragment into two or more sovereign nations before 2026?

Aug 15, 7:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7.88%chance

353182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2406

781

New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027?

Jun 11, 1:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

92756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4114

2467

Will there be a US Sovereign Wealth Fund established by the federal government by the end of the 119th congress?

Nov 21, 6:49 PMJan 7, 4:59 AM

8.78%chance

132441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2067

52

Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?

Aug 9, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.27%chance

91562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

713

SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 13, 12:06 AM

23.19%chance

151016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1820

549

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.1%chance

8909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

867

Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?

Dec 11, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.86%chance

21764

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NO

YES

1164

804

Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?

Feb 3, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.46%chance

5482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1265

790

Will Sovereign House continue to exist in some form by 2026?

May 18, 9:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.91%chance

6426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1422

703

EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?

Nov 20, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

833

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