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Prediction markets for space
Will the state-of-the-art AI model use latent space to reason by 2026?
Dec 14, 1:06 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM
15.31%chance
2629485
OptionVotes
23517
4252
Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?
Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
40.07%chance
2212058
OptionVotes
12238
8168
OptionVotes
2285
1105
OptionVotes
3904
1257
OptionVotes
993
912
OptionVotes
1204
909
OptionVotes
1896
193
Will there be an inflatable space habitat in orbit before 2030?
Jan 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
36.8%chance
501245
OptionVotes
1040
950
Will AirBnB make an acquisition in the physical hotel space before 2026?
Nov 21, 1:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.13%chance
131113
OptionVotes
2025
757
OptionVotes
1013
969
Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?
Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
76%chance
23912
OptionVotes
1108
940
Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?
Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM
63.02%chance
5540
OptionVotes
2308
1435
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