Special Report News

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy Interviews With Bret Baier on Fox News Special Report After Meeting President Trump at 6 p.m. ET August 18, 2025

10 months ago

GPT 5.6 released by…?

May 18, 3:17 AMDec 31, 2:14 AM

5440558

OptionProbability

11.59pm ET December 31 2026

11.59pm ET July 23 2026

11.59pm ET July 31 2026

11.59pm ET July 15 2026

11.59pm ET July 7 2026

11.59pm ET June 30 2026

11.59pm ET June 22 2026

11.59pm ET May 31 2026

11.59pm ET June 7 2026

11.59pm ET June 15 2026

Will Australia deploy troops to Venezuela in support of US forces before 2028?

Jan 3, 1:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.22%chance

95291

OptionVotes

YES

4765

210

Grok 4.20 METR 50% time horizon

Dec 13, 6:22 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

244785

OptionProbability

Other

2.5h - 3h

3.5h - 4h

4h - 4.5h

3h - 3.5h

4.5h - 5h

2h - 2.5h

5h - 5.5h

5.5h - 6h

<1.5h

1.5h - 2h

How many times will I cry emotionally to written work made entirely by an LLM before July 2026?

Oct 11, 4:53 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

11.69%chance

314298

OptionVotes

YES

2748

364

Will there be anywhere childfree city before 2030?

Aug 8, 2:49 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

10%chance

493247

OptionVotes

YES

1334

928

Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?

Mar 3, 1:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

81525

OptionVotes

YES

1127

756

Prospera breaks ground on an African charter city project before EOY 2028?

Aug 13, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.85%chance

71129

OptionVotes

YES

2075

482

Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?

Apr 4, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.98%chance

10919

OptionVotes

YES

1001

1000

Sanae Takaichi delivers Trophy at any Grand Sumo Tournament in 2026?

Jan 9, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.7%chance

8453

OptionVotes

YES

451

Will a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?

Dec 18, 3:20 AMJan 30, 3:59 PM

6240

OptionProbability

Jan-Jun 2027

Jul-Dec 2027

Jul-Dec 2026

Jan-Jun 2026

David Walliams publicly disgraced by 2027

Dec 19, 11:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.5%chance

4178

OptionVotes

YES

1051

951

Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

Feb 10, 2:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

111

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Ukraine
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy Interviews With Bret Baier on Fox News Special Report After Meeting President Trump at 6 p.m. ET August 18, 2025
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10 months ago

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GPT 5.6 released by…?

Will Australia deploy troops to Venezuela in support of US forces before 2028?

Grok 4.20 METR 50% time horizon

How many times will I cry emotionally to written work made entirely by an LLM before July 2026?

Will there be anywhere childfree city before 2030?

Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?

Prospera breaks ground on an African charter city project before EOY 2028?

Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?

Sanae Takaichi delivers Trophy at any Grand Sumo Tournament in 2026?

Will a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?

David Walliams publicly disgraced by 2027

Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

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