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Prediction markets for Special Report
OptionVotes
19061
5209
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
Aug 1, 5:55 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
18.72%chance
3916169
OptionVotes
20838
4780
Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
Aug 1, 5:58 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
21.33%chance
2710339
OptionVotes
19404
4922
Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
30%chance
404686
OptionVotes
1528
655
OptionVotes
1334
928
How many times will I cry emotionally to written work made entirely by an LLM before July 2026?
Oct 11, 4:53 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM
50.78%chance
252496
OptionVotes
1016
985
What stake will OpenAI's non-profit have in its for-profit arm, if restructured?
Jan 3, 5:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32355
OptionProbability
29
25
14
OptionVotes
1660
892
Prospera breaks ground on an African charter city project before EOY 2028?
Aug 13, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.25%chance
61069
OptionVotes
1985
504
Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?
Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM
46.74%chance
14929
OptionVotes
1068
937
Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?
Dec 14, 2:03 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
60.99%chance
29663
OptionVotes
1172
581
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Jun 22, 2:04 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
51.8%chance
11494
OptionVotes
104
96
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