Spring News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Spring
By the end of 2025 will general AIs like GPT-4o make better music than specialist AIs like Udio did in spring of 2024?
May 16, 4:43 AMJan 8, 7:59 AM
19.57%chance
376585
OptionVotes
2041
285
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.23%chance
252768
OptionVotes
2511
613
What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024?
Oct 24, 3:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21172
OptionProbability
43
43
42
42
40
38
36
36
31
30
29
24
Which revolutions will Mike Duncan cover in future seasons of the Revolutions podcast?
Jan 18, 11:27 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
7625
OptionProbability
98
98
98
87
85
80
56
50
50
31
1
OptionProbability
83
66
50
31
23
0
OptionVotes
1041
941
OptionProbability
288
254
Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?
May 6, 3:08 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM
63.71%chance
6129
OptionVotes
133
75
Will Zhong Shanshan (founder of Nongfu Spring) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
May 15, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.25%chance
5114
OptionVotes
204
51
Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?
Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM
72.78%chance
491
OptionVotes
131
66
Will another State Councillor of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?
Nov 2, 12:14 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM
70.73%chance
377
OptionVotes
102
50
Will Orange Juice cost less than Natural Gas on the 2027 Spring Equinox?
Dec 8, 6:30 AMMar 21, 3:59 AM
37.17%chance
443
OptionVotes
104
79
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