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Top stories

SpaceX Demolishes Cape Canaveral LC-37 to Build Starship Launch Pad

SpaceX Demolishes Cape Canaveral LC-37 to Build Starship Launch Pad

Authors

13

5 days ago

Elon Musk Talks Starship in Virtual Appearance at Silicon Valley Event

Elon Musk Talks Starship in Virtual Appearance at Silicon Valley Event

Authors

9

7 days ago

SpaceX's Most Powerful Starship Survives Engine Test Without Explosions Ahead of Flight 10 Launch

SpaceX's Most Powerful Starship Survives Engine Test Without Explosions Ahead of Flight 10 Launch

Authors

5

9 hours ago

Natural Resources

Mexico Warns SpaceX Over Unauthorized Starship Debris Recovery

Authors

13

9 days ago

SpaceX Targets Early August Launch for Starship Flight 10 With Ship 37, Booster 16; Elon Musk Confirms

Authors

24

17 days ago

SpaceX Targets Mid-August Launch for 10th Starship Flight With FAA Approval From Starbase Texas

Authors

20

19 days ago

SpaceX Demolishes ULA’s Mobile Service Tower at Cape Canaveral Launch Complex 37 on June 12 to Build Two Starship Sites with Up to 76 Annual Launches

Authors

14

2 months ago

Prediction markets for Starship

When will Starship flight 10 happen?

Mar 31, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71176866

OptionProbability

Before 2025-10-01

Before 2025-09-01

Before 2025-08-24

Before 2025-08-16

Before 2025-06-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2025-08-01

Before 2025-07-16

Before 2025-07-08

97

88

63

22

0

0

0

0

0

By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?

Jun 8, 1:42 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

80156184

OptionProbability

20

15

12

10

6

8

7

9

88

48

32

1

0

0

0

0

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Feb 7, 6:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

15%chance

165140813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2527

596

When will Starship complete an orbit?

Feb 4, 11:06 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

168130583

OptionProbability

Before 2026-08-01

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2026-06-01

Before 2026-05-01

Before 2026-04-01

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-02-01

Before 2026-01-01

Before 2025-12-01

Before 2025-11-01

Before 2025-10-01

Before 2025-09-01

February 2024

March 2024 or earlier

April 2024 or earlier

May 2024 or earlier

June 2024 or earlier

July 2024 or earlier

August 2024 or earlier

September 2024 or earlier

October 2024 or earlier

November 2024 or earlier

December 2024 or earlier

January 2025 or earlier

Before 2025-03-01

Before 2025-04-01

Before 2025-05-01

Before 2025-06-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2025-08-01

84

83

72

70

62

55

28

24

16

10

5

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?

Apr 22, 2:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46%chance

23181460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2135

2065

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?

Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.17%chance

13261939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5055

27

Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 6:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.39%chance

2026353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2789

359

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.23%chance

9821603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4277

1477

Will Starship fly to orbit more times before Artemis II, than SLS ever flies?

Oct 16, 3:48 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

87.55%chance

107350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2652

377

How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?

Aug 2, 1:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27000

OptionProbability

5 or more

7 or more

10 or more

15 or more

20 or more

82

69

52

26

17

Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?

Oct 16, 11:29 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.25%chance

475345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1323

790

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

7%chance

314343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3127

650

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