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Top stories

WhatsApp Beta Switches Windows App to Web Wrapper, Adds Message Reminders

WhatsApp Beta Switches Windows App to Web Wrapper, Adds Message Reminders

Authors

13

10 days ago

Prediction markets for Status and Communities

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

6.31%chance

906445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1978

1525

On what year will Esmeralda have its first 50 non-staff permanent residents?

Oct 19, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72859

OptionProbability

2028

never

2029

2027

2034

2030

2035

2031

2032

2033

2026

2025

33

30

26

20

20

19

18

17

17

17

13

11

Will the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?

Jan 16, 6:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.03%chance

402355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

946

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?

Jan 13, 11:11 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

92.36%chance

342168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1969

840

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?

Jan 15, 9:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

90.81%chance

342133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

959

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Jan 17, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

82.1%chance

331487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

906

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2029?

Jan 16, 1:24 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

85.97%chance

281437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1260

927

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2026?

Jan 17, 9:37 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

57.7%chance

231241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

672

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2028?

Jan 16, 10:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

82.7%chance

241002

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

873

Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?

Oct 4, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.89%chance

11779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

712

85

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.12%chance

7537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1254

798

Will "Social status part 1/2: negotiations over obj..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Mar 21, 2:41 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.74%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

94

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Jul 24, 2025
Jul 24, 2025
Software
Tech
WhatsApp Beta Switches Windows App to Web Wrapper, Adds Message Reminders
Authors
13
10 days ago

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